Winchester Thurston           2 - 9


 
                                     Region = PA    Div2-S2          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Dan Mulford           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   71.4326324    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Hampton                PA    Div2-S2 (13- 7, 88.5)     2-23   
 405 A Taylor Allderdice      PA    Div2-S2 ( 0-14, 61.6)    10- 7   
 419 H Norwin                 PA    Div2-S1 ( 9- 5, 80.2)     3-16   
 422 H North Catholic-Wuerl   PA    Div2-S4 (11- 6, 82.0)     7-20   
 426 A Gateway                PA    Div2-S2 ( 8- 8, 74.9)     5-12   
 428 H Aquinas Academy        PA    Div2-S2 ( 4- 5, 69.9)     2- 7   
 429 A Trinity Area           PA    Div2-S3 (10- 6, 81.7)     2-15   
 503 H Plum                   PA    Div2-S2 ( 3-10, 64.9)     8- 9   
 506 H Seton LaSalle          PA    Div2-S3 ( 1-12, 64.7)     3- 9   
 510 H Freeport Area          PA    Div2-S4 ( 5- 7, 70.8)     9-15   
 513 A Vincentian Academy     PA    Div2-S2 ( 2-11, 65.9)    14-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Hampton                 2-23     -21   -24           0.00
   405 A Taylor Allderdice      10- 7       3     1           1.68
   419 H Norwin                  3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   422 H North Catholic-Wuerl    7-20     -13   -18           0.00
   426 A Gateway                 5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   428 H Aquinas Academy         2- 7      -5    -6           1.14
   429 A Trinity Area            2-15     -13   -18           0.00
   503 H Plum                    8- 9      -1    -1           0.16
   506 H Seton LaSalle           3- 9      -6     0    --    -5.10
   510 H Freeport Area           9-15      -6    -7           1.07
   513 A Vincentian Academy     14-12       2    -2    ++     4.91


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Seton LaSalle           3- 9      -6     0    --    -5.10


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Vincentian Academy     14-12       2    -2    ++     4.91
   426 A Gateway                 5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.36 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.94 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.32 Local RPI Rank.............    45
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3


  
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