Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Jay Negus             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.9351044    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 93.0)     7- 5   
 331 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 92.9)     8- 5   
 402 A Chaminade              NY LI AAA-AA  (11- 7, 93.3)     9- 8   
 406 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 96.9)     7- 9   
 408 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.8)    11- 4   
 409 H Yorktown               NY B  Sec 1   (16- 7, 99.9)     8- 2   
 415 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 90.5)    10- 5   
 418 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)    13-12   
 420 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.9)     7- 5   
 426 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 98.2)     7- 8  o
 428 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 86.9)     9- 6   
 430 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)     1- 3   
 503 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 90.6)    10- 8   
 505 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 93.3)     7- 4   
 510 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 91.6)    10- 7   
 512 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 89.6)    11- 8   
 520 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)     8- 4   
 525 N Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 91.6)     9- 2   
 601 N Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 98.2)    13- 5   
 604 N Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   (16- 3, 99.5)     9- 5   
 608 N Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (19- 3, 99.5)    16- 6   
 611 N Victor                 NY A  Sec 5   (22- 0, 99.9)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Sachem North            7- 5       2     6    --    -4.49
   331 A Commack                 8- 5       3     5    -     -2.42
   402 A Chaminade               9- 8       1     5          n/a  
   406 A West Islip              7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.44
   408 H Middle Country         11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00
   409 H Yorktown                8- 2       6     0          n/a  
   415 A Huntington             10- 5       5     7    -     -2.83
   418 H Smithtown East         13-12       1     0           1.44
   420 H Riverhead               7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   426 A Connetquot              7- 8  o   -1     0          -1.12
   428 H Sachem East             9- 6       3    12    ---   -7.00
   430 H Smithtown West          1- 3      -2     3    --    -5.54
   503 A Half Hollow Hills West 10- 8       2     7    --    -5.75
   505 H Half Hollow Hills East  7- 4       3     6    -     -3.15
   510 A Walt Whitman           10- 7       3     6    -     -3.78
   512 A Northport              11- 8       3     8    --    -5.73
   520 H Smithtown West          8- 4       4     3           0.46
   525 N Walt Whitman            9- 2       7     7          -0.33
   601 N Connetquot             13- 5       8     0    +++    7.32
   604 N Syosset                 9- 5       4     0          n/a  
   608 N Lakeland/Panas         16- 6      10     0          n/a  
   611 N Victor                  5- 7      -2     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Riverhead               7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   428 H Sachem East             9- 6       3    12    ---   -7.00
   329 H Sachem North            7- 5       2     6    --    -4.49
   402 A Chaminade               9- 8       1     5    --         
   430 H Smithtown West          1- 3      -2     3    --    -5.54
   503 A Half Hollow Hills West 10- 8       2     7    --    -5.75
   512 A Northport              11- 8       3     8    --    -5.73
   331 A Commack                 8- 5       3     5    -     -2.42
   406 A West Islip              7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.44
   408 H Middle Country         11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00
   415 A Huntington             10- 5       5     7    -     -2.83
   505 H Half Hollow Hills East  7- 4       3     6    -     -3.15
   510 A Walt Whitman           10- 7       3     6    -     -3.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Yorktown                8- 2       6     0    +++        
   601 N Connetquot             13- 5       8     0    +++    7.32
   608 N Lakeland/Panas         16- 6      10     0    +++        
   604 N Syosset                 9- 5       4     0    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.90 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.15 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   17.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/