Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.7013855    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Long Branch            NJ 3  South   ( 0-19, 52.6)    12- 0   
 405 A Old Bridge             NJ 4  South   (11- 8, 78.6)     5- 6  o
 406 H Hightstown             NJ 3  South   ( 8-11, 77.8)     4- 3 5o
 409 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 2  South   (18- 4, 91.2)     2-14   
 411 H Brick Township         NJ 3  South   ( 5-12, 68.9)    13- 2   
 413 A Red Bank Regional      NJ 2  South   ( 9-11, 75.6)    10- 6   
 416 H East Brunswick         NJ 4  South   (11- 8, 77.3)    11- 4   
 418 H Holmdel                NJ 1  South   ( 3-14, 70.1)     2- 4   
 420 A Shore Regional         NJ 1  South   (12- 6, 81.5)     6-14   
 422 H Ocean Township         NJ 2  South   (14- 3, 84.4)     2-16   
 425 A Wall Township          NJ 2  South   (12- 4, 82.9)     5- 6  o
 427 H Ranney School          NJ    Grp-B   ( 1-11, 60.2)    11- 3   
 430 A Robbinsville           NJ 1  South   (13- 4, 86.3)     5-14   
 504 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 7-11, 75.0)     9- 8   
 507 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (12- 7, 85.7)     3-14   
 510 A Hillsborough           NJ 4  North   ( 7-11, 82.6)     4-10   
 512 A Notre Dame-Lawrence    NJ    Grp-A   (12- 6, 85.8)     3-17   
 518 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (15- 5, 92.9)     1-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Long Branch            12- 0      12    20           0.00
   405 A Old Bridge              5- 6  o   -1    -5    ++     4.66
   406 H Hightstown              4- 3 5o    1    -2    +      3.48
   409 H Rumson-Fair Haven       2-14     -12   -15           0.00
   411 H Brick Township         13- 2      11     6    +      3.56
   413 A Red Bank Regional      10- 6       4    -2    +++    6.69
   416 H East Brunswick         11- 4       7    -1    +++    8.97
   418 H Holmdel                 2- 4      -2     5    ---   -7.26
   420 A Shore Regional          6-14      -8    -8           0.58
   422 H Ocean Township          2-16     -14    -9          -1.00
   425 A Wall Township           5- 6  o   -1    -9    +++    8.94
   427 H Ranney School          11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   430 A Robbinsville            5-14      -9   -13           1.00
   504 H Red Bank Catholic       9- 8       1     0           0.61
   507 H Christian Bros          3-14     -11   -10           0.00
   510 A Hillsborough            4-10      -6    -9    +      3.68
   512 A Notre Dame-Lawrence     3-17     -14   -12           0.00
   518 A Seton Hall Prep         1-19     -18   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Holmdel                 2- 4      -2     5    ---   -7.26
   427 H Ranney School          11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Red Bank Regional      10- 6       4    -2    +++    6.69
   416 H East Brunswick         11- 4       7    -1    +++    8.97
   425 A Wall Township           5- 6  o   -1    -9    +++    8.94
   405 A Old Bridge              5- 6  o   -1    -5    ++     4.66
   406 H Hightstown              4- 3 5o    1    -2    +      3.48
   411 H Brick Township         13- 2      11     6    +      3.56
   510 A Hillsborough            4-10      -6    -9    +      3.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.14 Local Power Rank...........   141
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.88 Local SOS Rank.............    93
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   120
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   175
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   141
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.7
/