Region = MI 1  Reg2-1           
   Nickname = I Colts                Coach  =   Nate Reynolds         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2427521    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Novi                   MI 1  Reg3-1  ( 9- 9, 75.2)    10- 6   
 329 A Ann Arbor Skyline      MI 1  Reg3-1  ( 9-10, 76.5)    10- 6   
 330 H Holt                   MI 1  Reg1-1  ( 6-11, 71.7)    10- 8   
 412 A Bloomfield Hills       MI 1  Reg2-1  (10- 7, 78.9)     6- 7   
 414 H Clarkston              MI 1  Reg2-1  (15- 5, 88.0)     1-14   
 417 H St Andrew's College    CN    CISAA   (16- 6, 95.5)     8- 7   
 419 A Lake Orion             MI 1  Reg2-1  (16- 4, 85.2)     5- 8   
 423 H OL St Mary's           MI 2  Reg8-2  (10- 9, 81.5)     7- 6   
 425 H Grosse Pointe North    MI 2  Reg7-2  (13- 4, 79.3)     7- 8  o
 428 A Utica Eisenhower       MI 1  Reg4-1  ( 8-11, 76.5)     5- 3   
 429 A Fenwick                IL A  Cathlc  (11- 5, 91.5)     8-10   
 430 A York                   IL A  WesSub  (15- 6, 94.6)     7-15   
 505 H Rochester Adams        MI 2  Reg8-2  (12- 6, 77.1)     5- 6   
 507 H Canton                 MI 1  Reg3-1  (13- 5, 80.7)     8- 7   
 511 H St Francis DeSales     OH 2  NoWest  (20- 3, 93.4)     5- 7   
 516 A Troy Athens            MI 1  Reg4-1  ( 8-10, 77.4)    11- 4   
 521 H Walled Lake Central    MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 4-12, 62.6)    16- 3   
 523 H Birmingham             MI 1  Reg4-1  ( 8-11, 80.7)     7- 6  o
 525 A Clarkston              MI 1  Reg2-1  (15- 5, 88.0)     3- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Novi                   10- 6       4     5          -1.93
   329 A Ann Arbor Skyline      10- 6       4     2           1.68
   330 H Holt                   10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.35
   412 A Bloomfield Hills        6- 7      -1     0          -0.95
   414 H Clarkston               1-14     -13    -6    -     -3.05
   417 H St Andrew's College     8- 7       1   -14          n/a  
   419 A Lake Orion              5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.34
   423 H OL St Mary's            7- 6       1     0           1.44
   425 H Grosse Pointe North     7- 8  o   -1     1    -     -2.80
   428 A Utica Eisenhower        5- 3       2     2          -0.31
   429 A Fenwick                 8-10      -2   -12          n/a  
   430 A York                    7-15      -8   -15          n/a  
   505 H Rochester Adams         5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.95
   507 H Canton                  8- 7       1     0           0.63
   511 H St Francis DeSales      5- 7      -2   -12          n/a  
   516 A Troy Athens            11- 4       7     1    ++     5.55
   521 H Walled Lake Central    16- 3      13    18           0.00
   523 H Birmingham              7- 6  o    1     0           0.57
   525 A Clarkston               3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Holt                   10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.35
   505 H Rochester Adams         5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.95
   414 H Clarkston               1-14     -13    -6    -     -3.05
   425 H Grosse Pointe North     7- 8  o   -1     1    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H St Andrew's College     8- 7       1   -14    +++        
   429 A Fenwick                 8-10      -2   -12    +++        
   511 H St Francis DeSales      5- 7      -2   -12    +++        
   516 A Troy Athens            11- 4       7     1    ++     5.55
   525 A Clarkston               3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.22
   419 A Lake Orion              5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.34
   430 A York                    7-15      -8   -15    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.95 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.69 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   105
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/