Conf =  Foothills                 Region = NY C  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Andrew Smith          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.5943298    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (15- 3, 89.8)    10-13   
 409 A Saugerties             NY B  Sec 9   ( 3-12, 77.7)    13- 5   
 411 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 77.6)    13-12   
 412 H Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 75.6)    10- 8   
 416 H LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 8- 9, 77.2)    16-15   
 419 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (13- 6, 84.7)     9-12   
 421 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 0-15, 65.8)    21- 9   
 428 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (15- 3, 89.8)     7-13   
 503 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 75.6)    13-18   
 505 A Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 77.6)    11- 9   
 507 H Cambridge Central      NY C  Sec 2   (12- 6, 75.8)    16- 4   
 510 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (13- 6, 84.7)     7-10   
 512 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 0-15, 65.8)     9- 6   
 516 H Hoosick Falls          NY C  Sec 2   ( 7- 8, 70.3)    17- 6   
 521 H Maple Hill             NY C  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 67.0)    17- 2   
 524 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (13- 6, 84.7)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Queensbury             10-13      -3    -8    ++     5.37
   409 A Saugerties             13- 5       8     2          n/a  
   411 H Scotia-Glenville       13-12       1     3    -     -2.78
   412 H Amsterdam              10- 8       2     5    -     -3.79
   416 H LaSalle Institute      16-15       1     4    -     -3.17
   419 H Glens Falls             9-12      -3    -3           0.30
   421 H South Glens Falls      21- 9      12    15           0.00
   428 A Queensbury              7-13      -6    -9    +      3.69
   503 A Amsterdam              13-18      -5     4    ---   -9.46
   505 A Scotia-Glenville       11- 9       2     2          -0.46
   507 H Cambridge Central      16- 4      12     5    ++     4.37
   510 A Glens Falls             7-10      -3    -4           1.62
   512 A South Glens Falls       9- 6       3    14    ---   -7.00
   516 H Hoosick Falls          17- 6      11    11           0.00
   521 H Maple Hill             17- 2      15    14           0.00
   524 A Glens Falls             6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Amsterdam              13-18      -5     4    ---   -9.46
   512 A South Glens Falls       9- 6       3    14    ---   -7.00
   411 H Scotia-Glenville       13-12       1     3    -     -2.78
   412 H Amsterdam              10- 8       2     5    -     -3.79
   416 H LaSalle Institute      16-15       1     4    -     -3.17
   524 A Glens Falls             6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Queensbury             10-13      -3    -8    ++     5.37
   409 A Saugerties             13- 5       8     2    ++         
   507 H Cambridge Central      16- 4      12     5    ++     4.37
   428 A Queensbury              7-13      -6    -9    +      3.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.75 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.79 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/