Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dean Patty            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.9645996    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Haddam-Killingworth    CT S          (10- 9, 66.4)    11- 5   
 409 H Ledyard                CT M          ( 3-13, 55.0)    15- 1   
 411 A Montville              CT S          ( 9- 8, 59.9)    16- 8   
 412 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          ( 5-11, 57.6)    14- 5   
 414 A Griswold               CT S          ( 0-13, 41.8)    21- 1   
 416 A Old Lyme               CT S          (16- 3, 76.0)     7-17   
 421 H Waterford              CT S          (13- 6, 68.5)     8- 3   
 428 A Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 5-11, 59.8)    13- 9   
 430 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (11- 7, 69.7)     9-10   
 503 H East Lyme              CT M          (11- 8, 71.0)     6- 9   
 505 H Montville              CT S          ( 9- 8, 59.9)    10- 4   
 506 H Westerly               RI 2  Div-2N  (13- 6, 75.5)    10- 8   
 510 A Ledyard                CT M          ( 3-13, 55.0)    13- 5   
 512 A Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          ( 5-11, 57.6)    12- 1   
 517 H Griswold               CT S          ( 0-13, 41.8)    20- 0   
 519 A Waterford              CT S          (13- 6, 68.5)     5- 6   
 524 A East Lyme              CT M          (11- 8, 71.0)     7-18   
 601 H Weston                 CT S          (14- 7, 78.8)     2-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Haddam-Killingworth    11- 5       6     3    +      2.42
   409 H Ledyard                15- 1      14    14           0.00
   411 A Montville              16- 8       8     8          -0.52
   412 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   414 A Griswold               21- 1      20    26           0.00
   416 A Old Lyme                7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.40
   421 H Waterford               8- 3       5     1    +      3.54
   428 A Fitch-Groton           13- 9       4     8    --    -4.65
   430 A Norwich Free Academy    9-10      -1    -1           0.24
   503 H East Lyme               6- 9      -3    -1          -2.00
   505 H Montville              10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   506 H Westerly               10- 8       2    -5          n/a  
   510 A Ledyard                13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   512 A Saint Bernard/Wheeler  12- 1      11    10           0.00
   517 H Griswold               20- 0      20    28           0.00
   519 A Waterford               5- 6      -1     0          -0.87
   524 A East Lyme               7-18     -11    -2    ---   -7.41
   601 H Weston                  2-14     -12    -8          -1.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 A East Lyme               7-18     -11    -2    ---   -7.41
   428 A Fitch-Groton           13- 9       4     8    --    -4.65
   505 H Montville              10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   416 A Old Lyme                7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.40
   510 A Ledyard                13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Westerly               10- 8       2    -5    +++        
   408 H Haddam-Killingworth    11- 5       6     3    +      2.42
   421 H Waterford               8- 3       5     1    +      3.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.21 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 33.08 Local SOS Rank.............    78
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    80
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/