Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Michael Burke         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.7233124    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 413 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 89.7)     3-12   
 414 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (10-11, 88.1)     8-12   
 416 A St Edward              OH 1  NoWest  (10- 9, 83.5)     7-10   
 419 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (10- 7, 91.8)     3-19   
 420 H St Michael's College   CN    CISAA   (29- 5, 96.5)     4-10   
 422 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.4)     6-10   
 426 H Erie-McDowell          PA    Dist-X  (13- 7, 84.4)     9- 3   
 428 A Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (16- 3, 87.0)     5-18   
 503 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (10-11, 88.1)     2-12   
 505 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (10- 7, 91.8)     5-12   
 506 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 82.7)     4- 7   
 511 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 89.7)    10-11   
 512 A Cazenovia Central      NY C  Sec 3   (19- 3, 98.7)     3-17   
 516 H Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (16- 3, 87.0)     4-13   
 517 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 82.7)     3- 7   
 519 H Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 90.6)    14-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Timon St Jude           3-12      -9   -11           1.00
   414 A St Joseph Collegiate    8-12      -4    -9    ++     5.57
   416 A St Edward               7-10      -3    -5          n/a  
   419 H Canisius                3-19     -16   -11           0.00
   420 H St Michael's College    4-10      -6   -15          n/a  
   422 H Lancaster               6-10      -4    -6    +      2.89
   426 H Erie-McDowell           9- 3       6    -4          n/a  
   428 A Aquinas Institute       5-18     -13    -8          n/a  
   503 H St Joseph Collegiate    2-12     -10    -7    -     -2.34
   505 A Canisius                5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
   506 H Nichols                 4- 7      -3    -2          -0.75
   511 H Timon St Jude          10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.18
   512 A Cazenovia Central       3-17     -14   -20          n/a  
   516 H Aquinas Institute       4-13      -9    -6          n/a  
   517 A Nichols                 3- 7      -4    -4           0.16
   519 H Gowanda Central        14-11       3   -10    +++   13.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H St Joseph Collegiate    2-12     -10    -7    -     -2.34
   516 H Aquinas Institute       4-13      -9    -6    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Erie-McDowell           9- 3       6    -4    +++        
   511 H Timon St Jude          10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.18
   519 H Gowanda Central        14-11       3   -10    +++   13.00
   414 A St Joseph Collegiate    8-12      -4    -9    ++     5.57
   420 H St Michael's College    4-10      -6   -15    ++         
   416 A St Edward               7-10      -3    -5    +          
   422 H Lancaster               6-10      -4    -6    +      2.89
   505 A Canisius                5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.52 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.51 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/