Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Rob Murphy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7349243    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY B  Sec 11  (16- 1, 98.3)     3- 8   
 326 A Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  (10- 7, 92.1)     7-13   
 329 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 73.4)    18- 3   
 331 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 96.9)     5-10   
 402 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)     6-12   
 406 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.9)    15- 3   
 408 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 93.0)     2-14   
 413 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.8)    10- 9  o
 418 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 91.6)     5- 6   
 420 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 98.2)     4-10   
 426 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 92.9)    11-10   
 428 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 4, 98.9)     6- 9   
 430 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 90.6)     8-17   
 505 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 75.2)    12- 3   
 510 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 89.6)    11-10   
 512 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)     2-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Bayport-Blue Point      3- 8      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   326 A Eastport/South Manor    7-13      -6    -5          -0.25
   329 H Brentwood              18- 3      15    14           0.00
   331 H West Islip              5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.46
   402 A Smithtown West          6-12      -6    -9    +      3.57
   406 A Longwood               15- 3      12     7    +      2.54
   408 H Sachem North            2-14     -12    -5    --    -4.49
   413 A Middle Country         10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.52
   418 A Walt Whitman            5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.22
   420 A Connetquot              4-10      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   426 H Commack                11-10       1    -5    +++    6.47
   428 A Ward Melville           6- 9      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   430 H Half Hollow Hills West  8-17      -9    -3    --    -5.86
   505 A Patchogue-Medford      12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   510 H Northport              11-10       1    -2    +      3.16
   512 H Smithtown East          2-12     -10   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Sachem North            2-14     -12    -5    --    -4.49
   430 H Half Hollow Hills West  8-17      -9    -3    --    -5.86
   413 A Middle Country         10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Commack                11-10       1    -5    +++    6.47
   428 A Ward Melville           6- 9      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   322 H Bayport-Blue Point      3- 8      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   331 H West Islip              5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.46
   418 A Walt Whitman            5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.22
   420 A Connetquot              4-10      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   402 A Smithtown West          6-12      -6    -9    +      3.57
   406 A Longwood               15- 3      12     7    +      2.54
   510 H Northport              11-10       1    -2    +      3.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.90 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.14 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/