Region = DC    MAC              
   Nickname = D Lions                Coach  =   Dane Smith            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4340286    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H St Johns Catholic Prep MD B  MIAA    ( 3-14, 82.7)    11-10   
 319 H St Maria Goretti       MD    MILL-W  (11- 6, 78.8)    15-16   
 322 A St Vincent Pallotti    MD C  MIAA-C  (12- 7, 94.4)     9- 5   
 324 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 7-12, 81.9)     4- 9   
 330 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 9, 82.3)     8- 7  o
 401 A Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 8, 86.8)    11- 6   
 405 A St James               DC    MAC     ( 9- 7, 76.0)     6- 4   
 407 H The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (13- 7, 86.3)     6-13   
 412 A Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (12- 9, 81.8)     6-10   
 414 H Woodrow Wilson         DC    WILL    ( 9- 6, 92.4)    19- 1   
 419 H Georgetown Day         DC    MAC     ( 4- 9, 73.0)    16- 2   
 421 H Maret                  DC    MAC     (10- 5, 85.6)     5- 6   
 427 H Potomac School         DC    MAC     (13- 7, 87.1)     5-14   
 428 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 4-15, 75.6)     6- 7   
 503 A Sidwell Friends        DC    MAC     ( 9- 9, 78.8)    11- 6   
 505 H Damascus               MD 32 West-2  (11- 5, 85.1)     7- 4   
 512 H St James               DC    MAC     ( 9- 7, 76.0)    10- 2   
 516 A Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (12- 9, 81.8)     8- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H St Johns Catholic Prep 11-10       1     0          n/a  
   319 H St Maria Goretti       15-16      -1     3    --    -4.44
   322 A St Vincent Pallotti     9- 5       4   -12          n/a  
   324 H Bishop O'Connell        4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.38
   330 A Wilmington Ashley       8- 7  o    1     0          n/a  
   401 A Cape Fear Academy      11- 6       5    -5          n/a  
   405 A St James                6- 4       2     5    -     -3.61
   407 H The Heights             6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.92
   412 A Flint Hill              6-10      -4     0    -     -3.76
   414 H Woodrow Wilson         19- 1      18    -8          n/a  
   419 H Georgetown Day         16- 2      14     9           0.72
   421 H Maret                   5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.35
   427 H Potomac School          5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.20
   428 A Bishop Ireton           6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.99
   503 A Sidwell Friends        11- 6       5     2    +      2.23
   505 H Damascus                7- 4       3    -2          n/a  
   512 H St James               10- 2       8     6           1.71
   516 A Flint Hill              8- 9  o   -1     0          -0.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Bishop Ireton           6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.99
   319 H St Maria Goretti       15-16      -1     3    --    -4.44
   324 H Bishop O'Connell        4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.38
   427 H Potomac School          5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.20
   405 A St James                6- 4       2     5    -     -3.61
   407 H The Heights             6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.92
   412 A Flint Hill              6-10      -4     0    -     -3.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A St Vincent Pallotti     9- 5       4   -12    +++        
   401 A Cape Fear Academy      11- 6       5    -5    +++        
   414 H Woodrow Wilson         19- 1      18    -8    +++        
   505 H Damascus                7- 4       3    -2    ++         
   421 H Maret                   5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.35
   503 A Sidwell Friends        11- 6       5     2    +      2.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.93 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.51 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/