Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Paul Benway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.4844360    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 6-12, 84.3)     9-10   
 326 A Mamaroneck             NY A  Sec 1   (13- 6, 94.6)    17- 7   
 329 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 4, 98.9)     5- 7   
 401 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 90.5)     8-11   
 406 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)     4- 6   
 408 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 86.9)    14- 2   
 411 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 93.3)     5- 6   
 413 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 98.2)     8- 9   
 420 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.9)    17- 9   
 426 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 89.6)    12- 8   
 428 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 86.2)    18-10   
 430 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 96.9)     5- 6   
 503 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 89.3)    12-10   
 505 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)     7-12   
 507 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 81.7)    15- 7   
 510 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.9)     9- 6   
 517 H Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 90.5)    15- 8   
 520 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Archbishop Spalding     9-10      -1     7          n/a  
   326 A Mamaroneck             17- 7      10    -2          n/a  
   329 A Ward Melville           5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.49
   401 A Huntington              8-11      -3     1    --    -4.89
   406 H Smithtown West          4- 6      -2    -2           0.39
   408 A Sachem East            14- 2      12     5    ++     4.49
   411 A Half Hollow Hills East  5- 6      -1     0          -0.11
   413 H Connetquot              8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.70
   420 H Lindenhurst            17- 9       8     9          -1.62
   426 H Northport              12- 8       4     3           0.09
   428 H William Floyd          18-10       8     7           0.69
   430 A West Islip              5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.50
   503 H Bay Shore              12-10       2     4    -     -2.21
   505 A Smithtown East          7-12      -5    -7    +      2.48
   507 H North Babylon          15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   510 A Riverhead               9- 6       3     3          -0.47
   517 H Huntington             15- 8       7     3    +      4.00
   520 A Smithtown East         10-16      -6    -7           1.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Archbishop Spalding     9-10      -1     7    ---        
   401 A Huntington              8-11      -3     1    --    -4.89
   503 H Bay Shore              12-10       2     4    -     -2.21
   507 H North Babylon          15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Mamaroneck             17- 7      10    -2    +++        
   329 A Ward Melville           5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.49
   408 A Sachem East            14- 2      12     5    ++     4.49
   413 H Connetquot              8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.70
   430 A West Islip              5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.50
   505 A Smithtown East          7-12      -5    -7    +      2.48
   517 H Huntington             15- 8       7     3    +      4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.97 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.97 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/