Conf =  Rizk                      Region = NJ 3  North            
   Nickname = J Gaels                Coach  =   Chris Blough          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.5458527    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Mount Olive            NJ 3  North   (13- 6, 88.0)     9- 8   
 402 H Wayne Valley           NJ 3  North   ( 9-11, 79.6)    11- 6   
 405 H Sparta                 NJ 2  North   (20- 1, 96.0)     7-16   
 407 H Randolph               NJ 3  North   (12- 8, 85.8)    10- 6   
 411 H West Essex Regional    NJ 2  North   ( 6-13, 81.3)     5- 7   
 414 A Pequannock Township    NJ 1  North   ( 9-11, 81.5)     8- 9   
 416 H North Warren           NJ 1  North   (10- 9, 76.3)    17- 4   
 418 A West Morris Central    NJ 3  North   (19- 6, 93.9)     5-13   
 420 A Jefferson Twp          NJ 2  North   (17- 5, 81.2)    14- 2   
 422 A Lenape Valley          NJ 1  North   ( 5-13, 70.4)    17- 6   
 425 H Morris Knolls          NJ 3  North   (12- 7, 83.2)    10- 7   
 427 A Pope John XXIII        NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 9, 81.5)     6- 5   
 429 A Vernon Township        NJ 2  North   (12- 7, 82.8)    13-12   
 503 H Randolph               NJ 3  North   (12- 8, 85.8)     4-13   
 507 A Mendham                NJ 3  North   ( 6-13, 80.6)     5- 6  o
 509 H Governor Livingston    NJ 2  South   ( 2-17, 67.4)    16- 1   
 510 A Montville              NJ 2  North   ( 7-15, 79.0)    10- 4   
 512 H Kittatinny Regional    NJ 1  North   ( 4-12, 67.8)    19- 2   
 514 A Glen Rock              NJ 1  North   (11- 9, 84.8)    11- 8   
 518 H Morris Knolls          NJ 3  North   (12- 7, 83.2)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Mount Olive             9- 8       1     0           2.00
   402 H Wayne Valley           11- 6       5     7    -     -2.38
   405 H Sparta                  7-16      -9    -9           0.05
   407 H Randolph               10- 6       4     1    +      2.78
   411 H West Essex Regional     5- 7      -2     5    ---   -7.70
   414 A Pequannock Township     8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.08
   416 H North Warren           17- 4      13    10           0.00
   418 A West Morris Central     5-13      -8    -9           1.38
   420 A Jefferson Twp          14- 2      12     3    +++    6.62
   422 A Lenape Valley          17- 6      11    14           0.00
   425 H Morris Knolls          10- 7       3     3          -0.77
   427 A Pope John XXIII         6- 5       1     3    -     -2.06
   429 A Vernon Township        13-12       1     1          -0.70
   503 H Randolph                4-13      -9     1    ---  -10.22
   507 A Mendham                 5- 6  o   -1     3    --    -4.90
   509 H Governor Livingston    16- 1      15    19           0.00
   510 A Montville              10- 4       6     5           0.48
   512 H Kittatinny Regional    19- 2      17    19           0.00
   514 A Glen Rock              11- 8       3     0    +      3.26
   518 H Morris Knolls           6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H West Essex Regional     5- 7      -2     5    ---   -7.70
   503 H Randolph                4-13      -9     1    ---  -10.22
   414 A Pequannock Township     8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.08
   507 A Mendham                 5- 6  o   -1     3    --    -4.90
   518 H Morris Knolls           6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.77
   402 H Wayne Valley           11- 6       5     7    -     -2.38
   427 A Pope John XXIII         6- 5       1     3    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Jefferson Twp          14- 2      12     3    +++    6.62
   407 H Randolph               10- 6       4     1    +      2.78
   514 A Glen Rock              11- 8       3     0    +      3.26
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.76 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.81 Local SOS Rank.............    72
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    58
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   164
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    63
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/