Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   T.J. Barnett          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6919785    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 5-12, 76.6)    10- 3   
 408 H Hackley                NY    Ivy     (15- 4, 90.9)     7-14   
 413 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 8- 7, 83.0)    11- 9   
 415 H Long Island Lutheran   NY    PSAA    (12- 5, 85.4)    12-15   
 418 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (11- 6, 86.8)     9- 6   
 420 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 2-12, 73.2)    12- 3   
 427 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 5-12, 76.6)    10- 8   
 502 A Hackley                NY    Ivy     (15- 4, 90.9)     8- 7   
 504 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     ( 4-12, 76.2)    12- 5   
 506 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 8- 7, 83.0)    11- 3   
 509 A Columbia Prep          NY    PSAA    ( 3- 9, 75.5)    10- 5   
 514 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (11- 6, 86.8)     6- 7  o
 516 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 2-12, 73.2)    13- 1   
 517 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     ( 4-12, 76.2)     5- 6   
 521 H Long Island Lutheran   NY    PSAA    (12- 5, 85.4)    13- 7   
 523 A Rye Country Day        NE 2  FAA     (15- 4, 94.6)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Horace Mann            10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   408 H Hackley                 7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.84
   413 H Trinity School         11- 9       2     4    -     -2.80
   415 H Long Island Lutheran   12-15      -3     2    --    -5.34
   418 H Fieldston               9- 6       3     0    +      2.04
   420 A Dalton                 12- 3       9    13          -1.00
   427 H Horace Mann            10- 8       2    11    ---   -8.00
   502 A Hackley                 8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.31
   504 H Poly Prep              12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   506 A Trinity School         11- 3       8     3    ++     4.36
   509 A Columbia Prep          10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   514 A Fieldston               6- 7  o   -1     0          -0.80
   516 H Dalton                 13- 1      12    14           0.00
   517 A Poly Prep               5- 6      -1    10    ---  -11.00
   521 H Long Island Lutheran   13- 7       6     2    +      3.66
   523 A Rye Country Day         8-10      -2    -8          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Horace Mann            10- 8       2    11    ---   -8.00
   517 A Poly Prep               5- 6      -1    10    ---  -11.00
   415 H Long Island Lutheran   12-15      -3     2    --    -5.34
   509 A Columbia Prep          10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   406 A Horace Mann            10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   408 H Hackley                 7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.84
   413 H Trinity School         11- 9       2     4    -     -2.80
   504 H Poly Prep              12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 A Rye Country Day         8-10      -2    -8    +++        
   502 A Hackley                 8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.31
   506 A Trinity School         11- 3       8     3    ++     4.36
   418 H Fieldston               9- 6       3     0    +      2.04
   521 H Long Island Lutheran   13- 7       6     2    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.20 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.95 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/