Conf =  Dist-XI                   Region = PA    EPC-E            
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Vincent Arezzi        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.4457092    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Quakertown HS          PA    Indep   ( 4- 9, 66.9)    13- 1   
 329 H Freedom                PA    EPC-E   (10-10, 78.7)     6-12   
 331 H Bethlehem Liberty      PA    EPC-E   ( 0-16, 60.7)    14- 3   
 401 A Crestwood              PA    WVLL    (11- 9, 80.1)     6-10   
 405 A Easton Area            PA    EPC-E   (18- 4, 94.4)     1-17   
 408 A Moravian Academy       PA    Indep   ( 7- 8, 78.5)     1-10   
 412 H Emmaus                 PA    EPC-W   (12- 8, 89.7)     2-14   
 414 A Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 5-13, 71.1)    11- 7   
 416 H Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 1-17, 62.8)    18- 0   
 418 A Nazareth Area          PA    EPC-E   (10- 9, 81.1)     4-10   
 419 A Allentown Central Cath PA    EPC-W   (18- 4, 94.8)     3-24   
 421 H Parkland               PA    EPC-W   (15- 7, 93.8)     4-18   
 423 A Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   (11- 8, 82.6)    12-19   
 426 A Freedom                PA    EPC-E   (10-10, 78.7)     5- 7   
 429 A Bethlehem Liberty      PA    EPC-E   ( 0-16, 60.7)    16- 1   
 430 H Phillipsburg           NJ 3  North   (11- 8, 79.4)     5-16   
 503 H Easton Area            PA    EPC-E   (18- 4, 94.4)     4-17   
 509 H Nazareth Area          PA    EPC-E   (10- 9, 81.1)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Quakertown HS          13- 1      12     7    +      2.59
   329 H Freedom                 6-12      -6    -4          -1.63
   331 H Bethlehem Liberty      14- 3      11    13           0.00
   401 A Crestwood               6-10      -4    -7          n/a  
   405 A Easton Area             1-17     -16   -21           0.00
   408 A Moravian Academy        1-10      -9    -5    -     -3.26
   412 H Emmaus                  2-14     -12   -15           0.00
   414 A Bethlehem Catholic     11- 7       4     1    +      2.31
   416 H Northampton Area       18- 0      18    11           0.00
   418 A Nazareth Area           4-10      -6    -8    +      2.29
   419 A Allentown Central Cath  3-24     -21   -22           0.00
   421 H Parkland                4-18     -14   -19           0.00
   423 A Saucon Valley          12-19      -7    -9    +      2.78
   426 A Freedom                 5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.88
   429 A Bethlehem Liberty      16- 1      15    12           0.00
   430 H Phillipsburg            5-16     -11    -4          n/a  
   503 H Easton Area             4-17     -13   -20           0.00
   509 H Nazareth Area           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Phillipsburg            5-16     -11    -4    --         
   408 A Moravian Academy        1-10      -9    -5    -     -3.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Quakertown HS          13- 1      12     7    +      2.59
   401 A Crestwood               6-10      -4    -7    +          
   414 A Bethlehem Catholic     11- 7       4     1    +      2.31
   418 A Nazareth Area           4-10      -6    -8    +      2.29
   423 A Saucon Valley          12-19      -7    -9    +      2.78
   426 A Freedom                 5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.88
   509 H Nazareth Area           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.54 Local Power Rank...........    63
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.24 Local SOS Rank.............    62
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    70
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    69
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    73
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/