Conf =  Waterman                  Region = NJ    Grp-B            
   Nickname = J Big Blue             Coach  =   Mike Webster          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7561035    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A North Hunterdon        NJ 4  North   (12- 7, 89.5)    11- 7   
 402 N Rutgers Prep           NJ    Grp-B   ( 3-15, 77.0)    11- 5   
 406 H Ridge                  NJ 4  North   (10- 7, 89.9)     6- 5   
 409 N Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   (16- 4, 88.8)     7- 5   
 411 H Watchung Hills         NJ 4  North   ( 8- 9, 86.5)    12- 6   
 413 A Somerville             NJ 2  South   ( 6-12, 81.7)     8- 5   
 419 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   ( 7- 9, 83.4)    11- 6   
 421 H Hopewell Valley        NJ 2  South   (10-10, 84.6)    10- 5   
 427 A Moorestown             NJ 3  South   (18- 4, 94.8)    11-12   
 430 A St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (12- 8, 91.2)    15-10   
 504 A Montgomery             NJ 4  South   (16- 4, 95.0)     7- 8 2o
 509 H Bernards               NJ 1  South   (15- 8, 87.8)    14- 7   
 511 A Montgomery             NJ 4  South   (16- 4, 95.0)    14-13   
 514 N Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ 4  North   (19- 1, 97.5)     8-11   
 519 H Notre Dame-Lawrence    NJ    Grp-A   (12- 6, 85.8)    17- 7   
 524 H Gloucester Catholic    NJ    Grp-B   (10-10, 77.9)    15- 6   
 528 H Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   ( 8-14, 80.6)    17- 9   
 601 N Montclair Kim Acad     NJ    Grp-B   (14- 7, 87.0)     9- 4   
 604 N Chatham                NJ 2  North   (19- 7, 93.6)    10- 8   
 608 N Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ 4  North   (19- 1, 97.5)     8- 7   
 611 N Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (22- 2, 99.9)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A North Hunterdon        11- 7       4     3           0.83
   402 N Rutgers Prep           11- 5       6    16    --    -4.00
   406 H Ridge                   6- 5       1     5    --    -4.24
   409 N Monroe Township         7- 5       2     5    -     -3.11
   411 H Watchung Hills         12- 6       6     8    -     -2.58
   413 A Somerville              8- 5       3    10    ---   -7.00
   419 H Immaculata             11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   421 H Hopewell Valley        10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   427 A Moorestown             11-12      -1    -2           1.15
   430 A St Augustine Prep      15-10       5     1    +      3.50
   504 A Montgomery              7- 8 2o   -1    -2           1.35
   509 H Bernards               14- 7       7     7          -0.35
   511 A Montgomery             14-13       1    -2    +      3.35
   514 N Bridgewater-Raritan     8-11      -3    -3           0.58
   519 H Notre Dame-Lawrence    17- 7      10     9           0.70
   524 H Gloucester Catholic    15- 6       9    17          -1.00
   528 H Morristown Beard       17- 9       8    14    -     -2.00
   601 N Montclair Kim Acad      9- 4       5     6          -1.87
   604 N Chatham                10- 8       2     0           1.69
   608 N Bridgewater-Raritan     8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.58
   611 N Delbarton               4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Somerville              8- 5       3    10    ---   -7.00
   402 N Rutgers Prep           11- 5       6    16    --    -4.00
   406 H Ridge                   6- 5       1     5    --    -4.24
   419 H Immaculata             11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   421 H Hopewell Valley        10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   409 N Monroe Township         7- 5       2     5    -     -3.11
   411 H Watchung Hills         12- 6       6     8    -     -2.58
   528 H Morristown Beard       17- 9       8    14    -     -2.00
   611 N Delbarton               4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   608 N Bridgewater-Raritan     8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.58
   430 A St Augustine Prep      15-10       5     1    +      3.50
   511 A Montgomery             14-13       1    -2    +      3.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.91 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.08 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/