Conf =  Monroe-1                  Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   John Schembri         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3220825    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (10-11, 88.1)    15- 5   
 401 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 83.5)    13- 1   
 407 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 85.6)     8-14   
 409 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 91.8)     5-11   
 412 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 68.4)    15- 2   
 419 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 83.3)    11- 9   
 422 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 95.8)    14- 4   
 426 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-13, 76.6)    14- 8   
 428 H Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (17- 3, 91.0)     9- 8   
 430 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.4)    18- 8   
 503 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 93.5)     6-10   
 505 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (15- 6, 87.5)    18-13   
 510 H Victor                 NY A  Sec 5   (22- 0, 99.9)     4-15   
 512 A Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 78.9)    16-13   
 517 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 81.5)     7-13   
 519 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 78.0)     7- 6   
 524 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 74.3)    17- 5   
 527 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 93.5)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H St Joseph Collegiate   15- 5      10     0          n/a  
   401 H Clarence               13- 1      12     4          n/a  
   407 H Fairport                8-14      -6     2    ---   -8.26
   409 H West Genesee            5-11      -6    -3          n/a  
   412 A Rush-Henrietta         15- 2      13    17           0.00
   419 A Canandaigua            11- 9       2     2          -0.89
   422 H Orchard Park           14- 4      10    -7          n/a  
   426 A Hilton                 14- 8       6     9    -     -3.58
   428 H Penn Yan                9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.16
   430 A West Seneca East       18- 8      10     0          n/a  
   503 H Pittsford               6-10      -4    -5           1.62
   505 A Webster Thomas         18-13       5    -1    +++    6.29
   510 H Victor                  4-15     -11   -12           0.00
   512 A Brighton               16-13       3     7    --    -4.28
   517 H Irondequoit             7-13      -6     6    ---  -12.33
   519 A Webster Schroeder       7- 6       1     8    ---   -7.22
   524 H Gates-Chili            17- 5      12    13           0.00
   527 N Pittsford               9-12      -3    -6    +      3.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Fairport                8-14      -6     2    ---   -8.26
   517 H Irondequoit             7-13      -6     6    ---  -12.33
   519 A Webster Schroeder       7- 6       1     8    ---   -7.22
   512 A Brighton               16-13       3     7    --    -4.28
   409 H West Genesee            5-11      -6    -3    -          
   426 A Hilton                 14- 8       6     9    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H St Joseph Collegiate   15- 5      10     0    +++        
   422 H Orchard Park           14- 4      10    -7    +++        
   430 A West Seneca East       18- 8      10     0    +++        
   505 A Webster Thomas         18-13       5    -1    +++    6.29
   401 H Clarence               13- 1      12     4    ++         
   428 H Penn Yan                9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.16
   527 N Pittsford               9-12      -3    -6    +      3.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.04 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.44 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/