Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Polar Bears          Coach  =   Chris Newman          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4768982    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Dallastown             PA    York    (11- 5, 90.1)     5- 6   
 328 H Spring Grove           PA    York    ( 8- 8, 85.5)    11-10   
 329 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 0-17, 64.2)    17- 2   
 331 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 9, 83.8)    10-11   
 405 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (13- 6, 91.8)     4- 6   
 408 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (18- 4, 96.4)     4-18   
 412 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (10- 7, 87.4)     9- 5   
 413 H Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 5-13, 79.5)    12- 3   
 415 H Central York           PA    York    (11- 7, 92.0)     3-14   
 418 H State College          PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 91.3)     6-14   
 421 A Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (14- 7, 92.9)     8-13   
 426 H Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 1-16, 68.1)    18- 3   
 428 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 84.1)     6- 5  o
 429 H South-Western          PA    York    ( 3-14, 74.5)    16- 4   
 430 H West York              PA    York    ( 9- 6, 86.6)     8- 6   
 503 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 7-10, 81.0)    10- 4   
 505 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 88.0)     8- 9   
 510 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (17- 6, 95.1)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Dallastown              5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.64
   328 H Spring Grove           11-10       1     0           0.04
   329 A Central Dauphin East   17- 2      15    20           0.00
   331 H Lower Dauphin          10-11      -1     2    -     -3.62
   405 A Palmyra                 4- 6      -2    -7    ++     5.10
   408 H Cumberland Valley       4-18     -14    -9          -0.02
   412 A Carlisle                9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.74
   413 H Mechanicsburg          12- 3       9     6    +      2.10
   415 H Central York            3-14     -11    -5    --    -4.41
   418 H State College           6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.16
   421 A Trinity HS              8-13      -5    -8    +      3.20
   426 H Chambersburg           18- 3      15    18           0.00
   428 A Elizabethtown           6- 5  o    1     0           0.39
   429 H South-Western          16- 4      12    11           0.00
   430 H West York               8- 6       2     0    +      2.19
   503 H Bishop McDevitt        10- 4       6     5           0.61
   505 A Central Dauphin         8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.35
   510 A Hershey                 3-15     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Central York            3-14     -11    -5    --    -4.41
   331 H Lower Dauphin          10-11      -1     2    -     -3.62
   418 H State College           6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Carlisle                9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.74
   405 A Palmyra                 4- 6      -2    -7    ++     5.10
   324 H Dallastown              5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.64
   413 H Mechanicsburg          12- 3       9     6    +      2.10
   421 A Trinity HS              8-13      -5    -8    +      3.20
   430 H West York               8- 6       2     0    +      2.19
   505 A Central Dauphin         8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.55 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.14 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/