Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Nighthawks           Coach  =   Scott Bulkley         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.3523407    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 4, 88.8)     4-15   
 405 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 9-10, 72.4)    12-10   
 409 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          (12- 7, 81.6)     6-11   
 412 A Stratford              CT M          ( 7-11, 66.2)    15- 1   
 416 H Conard-West Hartford   CT L          (11- 8, 76.3)    12- 7   
 418 A Joel Barlow            CT M          (13- 7, 84.1)     6-11   
 421 H Pomperaug              CT M          (10-11, 70.7)    19- 2   
 426 H Weston                 CT S          (14- 7, 78.8)     5- 6 2o
 428 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 3-13, 54.4)    19- 0   
 430 A Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 84.4)     5-15   
 502 H New Fairfield          CT M          (11- 9, 79.6)     8- 6   
 505 N New Milford            CT L          ( 4-12, 65.7)    20- 4   
 507 A Glastonbury            CT L          (15- 4, 88.0)     5- 7   
 510 A Simsbury               CT L          (20- 2, 89.1)     6- 7 2o
 512 H Staples-Westport       CT L          (16- 4, 88.4)     5-11   
 514 A Bethel                 CT M          ( 7-11, 71.5)     6- 5  o
 519 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 7-11, 71.5)     7- 4   
 524 N Joel Barlow            CT M          (13- 7, 84.1)    13- 9   
 526 H Weston                 CT S          (14- 7, 78.8)     5- 4 3o
 528 A Greenwich HS           CT L          (11- 8, 85.9)     6-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Fairfield Prep          4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   405 A Brookfield             12-10       2     5    -     -3.77
   409 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       6-11      -5    -3          -1.58
   412 A Stratford              15- 1      14    11           0.00
   416 H Conard-West Hartford   12- 7       5     3           1.54
   418 A Joel Barlow             6-11      -5    -5           0.95
   421 H Pomperaug              19- 2      17     9           0.98
   426 H Weston                  5- 6 2o   -1     0          -1.93
   428 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   19- 0      19    25           0.00
   430 A Guilford                5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.74
   502 H New Fairfield           8- 6       2     0           1.86
   505 N New Milford            20- 4      16    13           0.00
   507 A Glastonbury             5- 7      -2    -9    +++    7.89
   510 A Simsbury                6- 7 2o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   512 H Staples-Westport        5-11      -6    -8    +      2.68
   514 A Bethel                  6- 5  o    1     6    --    -5.65
   519 H Bethel                  7- 4       3     8    --    -5.24
   524 N Joel Barlow            13- 9       4    -5    +++    9.15
   526 H Weston                  5- 4 3o    1     0           0.07
   528 A Greenwich HS            6-20     -14    -7    -     -2.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Bethel                  6- 5  o    1     6    --    -5.65
   519 H Bethel                  7- 4       3     8    --    -5.24
   405 A Brookfield             12-10       2     5    -     -3.77
   430 A Guilford                5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.74
   528 A Greenwich HS            6-20     -14    -7    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Glastonbury             5- 7      -2    -9    +++    7.89
   510 A Simsbury                6- 7 2o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   524 N Joel Barlow            13- 9       4    -5    +++    9.15
   512 H Staples-Westport        5-11      -6    -8    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.94 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.09 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/