Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8352661    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Simsbury               CT L          (20- 2, 89.1)     5-11   
 407 H Joel Barlow            CT M          (13- 7, 84.1)     8-15   
 409 H East Lyme              CT M          (11- 8, 71.0)    14- 5   
 412 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 3-13, 54.4)    14- 1   
 414 A Pomperaug              CT M          (10-11, 70.7)    14- 3   
 416 N St John Baptist        NY LI AAA-AA  (10- 9, 85.6)     9-11   
 419 H Brookfield             CT M          ( 9-10, 72.4)    12- 5   
 421 A Weston                 CT S          (14- 7, 78.8)    12- 3   
 425 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 7-11, 71.5)    17- 5   
 427 A Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 84.4)     7- 9   
 428 A Stratford              CT M          ( 7-11, 66.2)    15- 3   
 502 A Newtown                CT L          (11- 9, 78.9)     6- 8   
 505 H Xavier                 CT L          (12- 6, 82.5)     3- 6   
 507 H Norwalk                CT L          ( 6-10, 74.9)    13- 5   
 511 H New Milford            CT L          ( 4-12, 65.7)    10- 3   
 517 A North Haven            CT M          (10- 8, 77.5)     4- 5  o
 524 N Weston                 CT S          (14- 7, 78.8)     6- 7   
 601 A Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          (10- 8, 71.1)    11- 4   
 604 A Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 84.4)    10- 9  o
 608 N Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (13- 8, 81.7)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Simsbury                5-11      -6    -8    +      2.70
   407 H Joel Barlow             8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.30
   409 H East Lyme              14- 5       9     9          -0.38
   412 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   14- 1      13    24           0.00
   414 A Pomperaug              14- 3      11     8           1.92
   416 N St John Baptist         9-11      -2    -6          n/a  
   419 H Brookfield             12- 5       7     8          -1.01
   421 A Weston                 12- 3       9     0    +++    9.01
   425 H Bethel                 17- 5      12     8           1.10
   427 A Guilford                7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.61
   428 A Stratford              15- 3      12    12           0.00
   502 A Newtown                 6- 8      -2     0          -1.86
   505 H Xavier                  3- 6      -3    -2          -0.89
   507 H Norwalk                13- 5       8     5    +      2.48
   511 H New Milford            10- 3       7    14    -     -3.00
   517 A North Haven             4- 5  o   -1     1    -     -2.27
   524 N Weston                  6- 7      -1     0          -1.79
   601 A Bunnell-Stratford      11- 4       7     7          -0.67
   604 A Guilford               10- 9  o    1    -5    +++    6.61
   608 N Daniel Hand-Madison     7- 8      -1    -2           1.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Joel Barlow             8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.30
   511 H New Milford            10- 3       7    14    -     -3.00
   517 A North Haven             4- 5  o   -1     1    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Weston                 12- 3       9     0    +++    9.01
   604 A Guilford               10- 9  o    1    -5    +++    6.61
   416 N St John Baptist         9-11      -2    -6    ++         
   402 H Simsbury                5-11      -6    -8    +      2.70
   427 A Guilford                7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.61
   507 H Norwalk                13- 5       8     5    +      2.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.59 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.75 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/