Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-02          
   Nickname = C Bears                Coach  =   Steve Hopkinson       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.5978546    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 A First Flight           NC    Conf-02 ( 5-10, 70.2)    10- 9   
 311 H J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 ( 6-10, 71.1)    17- 8   
 315 A Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 4-13, 68.1)    13- 6   
 318 H West Carteret          NC    Conf-02 ( 0-15, 55.7)    17- 1   
 321 A Jacksonville           NC    Conf-02 (15- 4, 81.8)     4-11   
 324 A Northside              NC    Conf-02 (13- 3, 82.3)    10-12   
 405 A Croatan                NC    Conf-02 (11- 7, 75.5)     9-11   
 408 H First Flight           NC    Conf-02 ( 5-10, 70.2)    14- 5   
 415 H Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 4-13, 68.1)    14- 4   
 419 A West Carteret          NC    Conf-02 ( 0-15, 55.7)    16- 0   
 420 H Croatan                NC    Conf-02 (11- 7, 75.5)    11- 7   
 426 H Northside              NC    Conf-02 (13- 3, 82.3)     7-12   
 428 A J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 ( 6-10, 71.1)    15- 7   
 429 H Jacksonville           NC    Conf-02 (15- 4, 81.8)     6- 7   
 506 H Heritage               NC    Conf-04 ( 9- 9, 83.6)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A First Flight           10- 9       1     6    --    -5.94
   311 H J.H. Rose              17- 8       9     7           1.49
   315 A Havelock               13- 6       7     9    -     -2.05
   318 H West Carteret          17- 1      16    22           0.00
   321 A Jacksonville            4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.31
   324 A Northside              10-12      -2    -5    +      3.16
   405 A Croatan                 9-11      -2     1    -     -3.57
   408 H First Flight           14- 5       9     8           0.57
   415 H Havelock               14- 4      10    10           0.00
   419 A West Carteret          16- 0      16    21           0.00
   420 H Croatan                11- 7       4     3           0.94
   426 H Northside               7-12      -5    -3          -1.33
   428 A J.H. Rose              15- 7       8     6           1.98
   429 H Jacksonville            6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.20
   506 H Heritage                5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A First Flight           10- 9       1     6    --    -5.94
   506 H Heritage                5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.02
   315 A Havelock               13- 6       7     9    -     -2.05
   321 A Jacksonville            4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.31
   405 A Croatan                 9-11      -2     1    -     -3.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Northside              10-12      -2    -5    +      3.16
   429 H Jacksonville            6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.85 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.48 Local SOS Rank.............    94
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/