Conf =  MIDWEST                   Region = PA    Div1-S1          
   Nickname = A Blue Devils          Coach  =   Mike Ermer            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.7530212    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H North Allegheny        PA    Div1-S2 (13- 9, 90.2)    18- 5   
 401 A Exeter Township        PA    Berks-1 ( 8-11, 85.0)    15- 3   
 402 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 92.7)    15- 8   
 406 H Kiski Prep             PA    Indep   (16- 6, 95.6)    20-13   
 409 H Strath Haven           PA    Centrl  (19- 7, 96.1)     5- 9   
 413 H Sewickley Academy      PA    Div1-S1 ( 5-11, 85.1)    11-10  o
 415 H Olentangy HS           OH 1  NoWest  ( 9-12, 88.7)    10-11   
 416 H Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  SoWest  (19- 3, 99.8)     9-11   
 420 A Bethel Park            PA    Div1-S1 ( 7-11, 84.5)    12- 4   
 423 A Shady Side Academy     PA    Div1-S2 (10- 8, 89.4)     7- 8 3o
 424 A Western Reserve Acad   OH 1  Indep   ( 5-11, 86.3)    18- 9   
 428 H Central Catholic       PA    Div1-S1 ( 2-10, 76.9)    16- 2   
 430 H Hill Academy II        IS    IndepIS ( 8- 0, 96.2)     8- 9  o
 502 H Pine Richland          PA    Div1-S2 (14- 6, 92.5)    19-11   
 504 H Peters Township        PA    Div1-S1 (10- 8, 91.3)    10- 9   
 506 N Detroit Country Day    MI 1  Reg3-1  (14- 8, 91.3)     7-16   
 507 N Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1  Reg1-1  (11-12, 84.5)    14- 8   
 511 A Upper St Clair         PA    Div1-S1 ( 6- 7, 87.4)    13-11   
 519 H Fox Chapel             PA    Div1-S2 (10- 4, 92.7)    19- 6   
 523 N Pine Richland          PA    Div1-S2 (14- 6, 92.5)    16-10   
 527 N North Allegheny        PA    Div1-S2 (13- 9, 90.2)     7- 9   
 601 N State College          PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 91.3)     8- 5   
 604 N Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (23- 4, 99.4)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H North Allegheny        18- 5      13     4    ++     5.83
   401 A Exeter Township        15- 3      12     8          n/a  
   402 A Hempfield              15- 8       7     0          n/a  
   406 H Kiski Prep             20-13       7    -1    +++    8.16
   409 H Strath Haven            5- 9      -4    -1          n/a  
   413 H Sewickley Academy      11-10  o    1     9    ---   -8.31
   415 H Olentangy HS           10-11      -1     6          n/a  
   416 H Cincinnati St Xavier    9-11      -2    -5          n/a  
   420 A Bethel Park            12- 4       8     9          -1.02
   423 A Shady Side Academy      7- 8 3o   -1     4    --    -5.18
   424 A Western Reserve Acad   18- 9       9     6          n/a  
   428 H Central Catholic       16- 2      14    17           0.00
   430 H Hill Academy II         8- 9  o   -1    -2          n/a  
   502 H Pine Richland          19-11       8     1    +++    6.10
   504 H Peters Township        10- 9       1     3    -     -2.11
   506 N Detroit Country Day     7-16      -9     2          n/a  
   507 N Univ Detroit Jesuit    14- 8       6     9          n/a  
   511 A Upper St Clair         13-11       2     6    --    -4.17
   519 H Fox Chapel             19- 6      13     1    +++    8.29
   523 N Pine Richland          16-10       6     1    ++     4.51
   527 N North Allegheny         7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.76
   601 N State College           8- 5       3     2          n/a  
   604 N Manheim Township        5-17     -12    -5          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Sewickley Academy      11-10  o    1     9    ---   -8.31
   415 H Olentangy HS           10-11      -1     6    ---        
   506 N Detroit Country Day     7-16      -9     2    ---        
   423 A Shady Side Academy      7- 8 3o   -1     4    --    -5.18
   511 A Upper St Clair         13-11       2     6    --    -4.17
   527 N North Allegheny         7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.76
   604 N Manheim Township        5-17     -12    -5    --         
   409 H Strath Haven            5- 9      -4    -1    -          
   504 H Peters Township        10- 9       1     3    -     -2.11
   507 N Univ Detroit Jesuit    14- 8       6     9    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Hempfield              15- 8       7     0    +++        
   406 H Kiski Prep             20-13       7    -1    +++    8.16
   502 H Pine Richland          19-11       8     1    +++    6.10
   519 H Fox Chapel             19- 6      13     1    +++    8.29
   328 H North Allegheny        18- 5      13     4    ++     5.83
   523 N Pine Richland          16-10       6     1    ++     4.51
   416 H Cincinnati St Xavier    9-11      -2    -5    +          
   424 A Western Reserve Acad   18- 9       9     6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.99 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.23 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   30.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/