Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Gordy Luthart         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4137878    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 87.6)    11-12 2o
 401 A Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 60.9)    16- 2   
 407 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     9-10  o
 411 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (18- 2, 92.7)     7-22   
 413 H Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 68.8)    13- 5   
 415 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 70.8)    14- 5   
 419 H Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 90.6)    11-17   
 421 A Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 68.8)    16- 6   
 422 A Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 90.6)    10-16   
 425 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     7-11   
 427 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (18- 2, 92.7)     8-18   
 429 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 70.8)    18- 8   
 503 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 87.6)     7-12   
 506 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 77.8)    12-11   
 510 H Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 60.9)    24- 0   
 512 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.8)     9-12   
 524 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H East Aurora            11-12 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.69
   401 A Wilson Central         16- 2      14    18           0.00
   407 A Eden                    9-10  o   -1    -4    +      3.41
   411 A Akron                   7-22     -15   -13           0.00
   413 H Lew-Port               13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   415 H Salamanca              14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   419 H Gowanda Central        11-17      -6    -9    +      3.63
   421 A Lew-Port               16- 6      10    10           0.00
   422 A Gowanda Central        10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   425 H Eden                    7-11      -4    -2          -1.50
   427 H Akron                   8-18     -10   -11           0.00
   429 A Salamanca              18- 8      10     8           1.75
   503 A East Aurora             7-12      -5    -8    +      3.60
   506 A Lockport               12-11       1     1          -0.21
   510 H Wilson Central         24- 0      24    20           0.00
   512 H West Seneca West        9-12      -3     2    --    -5.15
   524 A Eden                    5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H West Seneca West        9-12      -3     2    --    -5.15
   413 H Lew-Port               13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   524 A Eden                    5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H East Aurora            11-12 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.69
   422 A Gowanda Central        10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   407 A Eden                    9-10  o   -1    -4    +      3.41
   419 H Gowanda Central        11-17      -6    -9    +      3.63
   503 A East Aurora             7-12      -5    -8    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.97 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.95 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/