Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-03          
   Nickname = C Mustangs             Coach  =   Nick Holota           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.3564911    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Millbrook              NC    Conf-04 (12- 7, 86.7)    14- 4   
 304 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 (14- 5, 95.9)     7- 6   
 308 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 5-11, 77.4)    21- 3   
 315 A Athens Drive           NC    Conf-03 ( 9- 9, 88.3)    14-12   
 318 H Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 1-14, 72.9)    15- 4   
 319 N R.J. Reynolds          NC    Conf-09 (12- 8, 88.0)    12- 2   
 322 A Green Hope             NC    Conf-03 (13- 5, 95.7)    12-11   
 324 H Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (17- 2, 98.8)    11-13   
 405 A Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-05 ( 5-14, 81.0)    16- 3   
 408 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 6-11, 81.9)    18- 8   
 412 H Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 4-12, 74.1)    21- 2   
 415 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 (14- 5, 95.9)     6- 7   
 416 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (18- 3, 95.6)     8-12   
 419 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 5-11, 77.4)    19- 2   
 425 A Pinecrest              NC    Conf-03 ( 5-10, 78.9)    18- 5   
 426 H Athens Drive           NC    Conf-03 ( 9- 9, 88.3)    15- 7   
 429 A Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 1-14, 72.9)    13- 2   
 506 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-05 ( 5-14, 81.0)    18- 7   
 510 H Heritage               NC    Conf-04 ( 9- 9, 83.6)    17- 5   
 514 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (18- 3, 95.6)    10-11  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Millbrook              14- 4      10    10           0.00
   304 A Holly Springs           7- 6       1     0           0.99
   308 H Cary HS                21- 3      18    19           0.00
   315 A Athens Drive           14-12       2     7    --    -5.59
   318 H Friendship             15- 4      11    24           0.00
   319 N R.J. Reynolds          12- 2      10     8           1.34
   322 A Green Hope             12-11       1     0           0.82
   324 H Apex                   11-13      -2    -1          -0.57
   405 A Durham Jordan          16- 3      13    14           0.00
   408 A Panther Creek          18- 8      10    13           0.00
   412 H Fuquay-Varina          21- 2      19    23           0.00
   415 H Holly Springs           6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.50
   416 A Wilmington Hoggard      8-12      -4     0    --    -4.35
   419 A Cary HS                19- 2      17    18           0.00
   425 A Pinecrest              18- 5      13    17           0.00
   426 H Athens Drive           15- 7       8     9          -1.08
   429 A Friendship             13- 2      11    23           0.00
   506 H Durham Jordan          18- 7      11    16           0.00
   510 H Heritage               17- 5      12    13           0.00
   514 A Wilmington Hoggard     10-11  o   -1     0          -1.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Athens Drive           14-12       2     7    --    -5.59
   416 A Wilmington Hoggard      8-12      -4     0    --    -4.35
   415 H Holly Springs           6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.65 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.80 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3
/