Region = TN 1  East             
   Nickname = N Big Red              Coach  =   Matt Garvey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4667053    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Baylor School          TN 1  East    ( 8-10, 83.7)    15- 1   
 304 H Louisville Trinity     KY 1  KSLL    (11-12, 94.1)     6- 5  o
 309 A Pope John Paul II      TN 1  West    ( 7-11, 81.2)    13- 4   
 311 H McCallie School        TN 1  East    (10- 7, 91.2)    11-10   
 318 A Charlotte Latin        NC 1  NCISAA  (10- 9, 91.6)    12- 6   
 319 A Lake Norman            NC    Conf-10 (17- 7, 96.6)     7- 8   
 320 A Greenville             SC    UpperSt (10- 6, 85.0)    17- 5   
 401 A Memphis Univ School    TN 1  West    (15- 3, 99.9)     4-15   
 402 A Christian Bros         TN 1  West    (14- 8, 92.0)    10- 9   
 408 A Univ School Nashville  TN 2  Central (10-11, 85.3)    14- 4   
 412 H Father Ryan            TN 1  West    (10-11, 85.9)    18- 9   
 415 A Chattahoochee          GA 6A Area03  (12- 6, 87.5)    11-12  o
 416 A Centennial             GA 6A Area03  (17- 3, 96.1)    10-15   
 419 H Centennial             TN 1  East    ( 7-11, 79.9)    19- 2   
 421 H Franklin               TN 1  East    ( 5-10, 77.9)    18- 3   
 427 H Ensworth               TN 2  Central (13-11, 87.7)    17- 1   
 504 A Ravenwood              TN 1  East    (12- 6, 88.7)    12- 4   
 514 H Baylor School          TN 1  East    ( 8-10, 83.7)    13- 7   
 520 N McCallie School        TN 1  East    (10- 7, 91.2)     8- 7  o
 521 N Memphis Univ School    TN 1  West    (15- 3, 99.9)     6-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Baylor School          15- 1      14    13           0.00
   304 H Louisville Trinity      6- 5  o    1     1          n/a  
   309 A Pope John Paul II      13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   311 H McCallie School        11-10       1     5    --    -4.52
   318 A Charlotte Latin        12- 6       6     1          n/a  
   319 A Lake Norman             7- 8      -1    -3          n/a  
   320 A Greenville             17- 5      12     8          n/a  
   401 A Memphis Univ School     4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.91
   402 A Christian Bros         10- 9       1     0           0.18
   408 A Univ School Nashville  14- 4      10     8          n/a  
   412 H Father Ryan            18- 9       9    10          -1.00
   415 A Chattahoochee          11-12  o   -1     5          n/a  
   416 A Centennial             10-15      -5    -2          n/a  
   419 H Centennial             19- 2      17    16           0.00
   421 H Franklin               18- 3      15    18           0.00
   427 H Ensworth               17- 1      16     8          n/a  
   504 A Ravenwood              12- 4       8     4    +      3.92
   514 H Baylor School          13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   520 N McCallie School         8- 7  o    1     3    -     -2.57
   521 N Memphis Univ School     6-12      -6    -5          -0.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Chattahoochee          11-12  o   -1     5    ---        
   311 H McCallie School        11-10       1     5    --    -4.52
   514 H Baylor School          13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   401 A Memphis Univ School     4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.91
   416 A Centennial             10-15      -5    -2    -          
   520 N McCallie School         8- 7  o    1     3    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Charlotte Latin        12- 6       6     1    ++         
   319 A Lake Norman             7- 8      -1    -3    +          
   504 A Ravenwood              12- 4       8     4    +      3.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.76 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.29 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.200.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/