Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Allen Shissler        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9998245    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Wyomissing             PA    Berks-2 ( 3-13, 74.8)    15-12   
 401 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.1)     9- 8   
 402 A Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (14- 7, 92.9)     4-16   
 405 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 92.7)     6-14   
 408 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 73.4)    19- 8   
 413 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 70.3)    11- 3   
 415 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 6, 85.2)     9-10 2o
 419 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (23- 4, 99.4)     4-18   
 421 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb (16- 4, 95.1)     6-12   
 423 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (10- 7, 87.4)    11-12   
 426 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 78.9)    14-10   
 428 H Northern York          PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 9, 85.6)     5- 6  o
 429 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 71.3)    15- 3   
 503 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 78.1)    10- 4   
 504 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 75.2)    20- 5   
 509 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 85.4)    12-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Wyomissing             15-12       3    10    ---   -7.00
   401 A Lancaster Cou Day       9- 8       1     6    --    -5.02
   402 A Trinity HS              4-16     -12    -9          -0.30
   405 H Hempfield               6-14      -8    -7          -0.21
   408 A Ephrata                19- 8      11     9           0.21
   413 H Conestoga Valley       11- 3       8    14    -     -2.00
   415 A Warwick                 9-10 2o   -1    -1           0.99
   419 H Manheim Township        4-18     -14   -14           0.00
   421 A Lampeter-Strasburg      6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   423 H Carlisle               11-12      -1    -2           1.47
   426 A Cedar Crest            14-10       4     4          -0.23
   428 H Northern York           5- 6  o   -1     0          -0.39
   429 A Cocalico               15- 3      12    11           0.00
   503 H Penn Manor             10- 4       6     6          -0.81
   504 H Lancaster Mennonite    20- 5      15     9           0.26
   509 H Garden Spot            12-17      -5     0    --    -4.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Wyomissing             15-12       3    10    ---   -7.00
   401 A Lancaster Cou Day       9- 8       1     6    --    -5.02
   509 H Garden Spot            12-17      -5     0    --    -4.57
   413 H Conestoga Valley       11- 3       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Lampeter-Strasburg      6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.05 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.48 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/