Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6496811    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 7-12, 81.9)    13- 6   
 310 A St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    ( 1-15, 76.8)    12- 6   
 312 H John Carroll           MD B  MIAA    (19- 6, 99.9)     9- 0   
 315 A Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    ( 3-13, 81.6)    12- 8   
 317 H Calverton              MD    MILL-E  (13- 6, 86.6)    14-10   
 322 H Loyola-Blakefield      MD A  MIAA    ( 9- 7, 90.6)     9-11   
 324 H McCallie School        TN 1  East    (10- 7, 91.2)    15- 4   
 325 H Coronado               CA    City I  (10- 9, 89.4)    14- 3   
 331 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-05 (19- 3, 99.9)    14- 8   
 402 H St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (12- 8, 91.2)    16-11   
 405 A Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    (12- 9, 88.9)    13- 8   
 408 A St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (21- 4, 98.0)     7- 5   
 412 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (19- 2, 99.9)     9-13   
 415 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (21- 2, 98.5)     7-11   
 421 A St Albans              DC    IAC     ( 8-11, 82.7)     8- 5   
 423 H Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (14-10, 91.1)    11- 6   
 429 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (12- 7, 90.1)    10- 5   
 503 H Robinson               VA 6A Concord (20- 2, 97.0)    17-12   
 509 H Churchill              MD 43 West-1  (16- 2, 94.3)    13- 8   
 510 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (12-10, 88.5)    11- 2   
 518 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (21- 4, 98.0)     8-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Bishop O'Connell       13- 6       7    13          n/a  
   310 A St Mary's Annapolis    12- 6       6    17    --    -4.00
   312 H John Carroll            9- 0       9    -3          n/a  
   315 A Gilman                 12- 8       4    12    ---   -6.00
   317 H Calverton              14-10       4     9          n/a  
   322 H Loyola-Blakefield       9-11      -2     5    ---   -7.46
   324 H McCallie School        15- 4      11     5          n/a  
   325 H Coronado               14- 3      11     6          n/a  
   331 H Cardinal Gibbons       14- 8       6    -3          n/a  
   402 H St Augustine Prep      16-11       5     5          n/a  
   405 A Mount St Joseph        13- 8       5     5          -0.57
   408 A St Stephen/St Agnes     7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.55
   412 H Gonzaga                 9-13      -4    -4          n/a  
   415 H Bullis                  7-11      -4    -2          -1.58
   421 A St Albans               8- 5       3    11    ---   -7.00
   423 H Lawrenceville          11- 6       5     5          n/a  
   429 A Georgetown Prep        10- 5       5     4           0.59
   503 H Robinson               17-12       5     0          n/a  
   509 H Churchill              13- 8       5     1          n/a  
   510 H Episcopal HS           11- 2       9     7           1.41
   518 H St Stephen/St Agnes     8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Gilman                 12- 8       4    12    ---   -6.00
   322 H Loyola-Blakefield       9-11      -2     5    ---   -7.46
   421 A St Albans               8- 5       3    11    ---   -7.00
   310 A St Mary's Annapolis    12- 6       6    17    --    -4.00
   317 H Calverton              14-10       4     9    --         
   308 H Bishop O'Connell       13- 6       7    13    -          
   518 H St Stephen/St Agnes     8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H John Carroll            9- 0       9    -3    +++        
   331 H Cardinal Gibbons       14- 8       6    -3    +++        
   324 H McCallie School        15- 4      11     5    ++         
   408 A St Stephen/St Agnes     7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.55
   503 H Robinson               17-12       5     0    ++         
   325 H Coronado               14- 3      11     6    +          
   509 H Churchill              13- 8       5     1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.27 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.30 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/