Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Mike Ricucci          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4975586    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-06 (15- 4, 87.2)    11-13   
 303 A W.G. Enloe             NC    Conf-04 ( 9- 9, 83.9)     6- 7   
 308 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-06 (11-10, 84.4)     7- 9   
 309 H Heritage               NC    Conf-04 ( 9- 9, 83.6)     9- 5   
 312 A Carrboro               NC    Conf-06 (15- 2, 91.1)     2- 9   
 315 A Green Hope             NC    Conf-03 (13- 5, 95.7)     3-17   
 317 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 (14- 5, 95.9)     4-14   
 319 H Cary Academy           NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6- 8, 80.8)     6- 5  o
 322 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (11- 6, 88.1)     7- 8   
 402 A Atholton               MD 32 South-2 ( 8- 7, 83.7)     7-10   
 402 N North Harford          MD 32 North-2 ( 8- 8, 85.9)     9-15   
 405 H Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (16- 4, 96.7)     3-16   
 408 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-05 (19- 3, 99.9)     5-15   
 413 H Issaquah               WA 1  KingCo  (18- 5, 94.6)     6-15   
 418 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-05 ( 5-10, 73.2)    18- 6   
 419 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-05 ( 3-12, 76.6)    15- 8   
 421 A Cary Academy           NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6- 8, 80.8)    12- 7   
 426 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (11- 6, 88.1)     8-10   
 506 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (16- 4, 96.7)     7-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Cedar Ridge            11-13      -2    -5    +      3.45
   303 A W.G. Enloe              6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.64
   308 H Chapel Hill             7- 9      -2    -2           0.64
   309 H Heritage                9- 5       4    -1    ++     5.82
   312 A Carrboro                2- 9      -7   -10    +      3.00
   315 A Green Hope              3-17     -14   -15           0.00
   317 H Holly Springs           4-14     -10   -14           0.00
   319 H Cary Academy            6- 5  o    1     0          n/a  
   322 A East Chapel Hill        7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.87
   402 A Atholton                7-10      -3    -3          n/a  
   402 N North Harford           9-15      -6    -4          n/a  
   405 H Middle Creek            3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   408 A Cardinal Gibbons        5-15     -10   -19           0.00
   413 H Issaquah                6-15      -9   -12          n/a  
   418 H Northern Durham        18- 6      12     8           1.44
   419 H Durham Riverside       15- 8       7     5           1.90
   421 A Cary Academy           12- 7       5     0          n/a  
   426 A East Chapel Hill        8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.87
   506 A Middle Creek            7-18     -11   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A East Chapel Hill        7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.87
   309 H Heritage                9- 5       4    -1    ++     5.82
   421 A Cary Academy           12- 7       5     0    ++         
   426 A East Chapel Hill        8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.87
   301 H Cedar Ridge            11-13      -2    -5    +      3.45
   303 A W.G. Enloe              6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.64
   312 A Carrboro                2- 9      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.00 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.02 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    62
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/