Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Tom Kincella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5330658    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 83.0)     1- 8   
 406 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 1, 99.9)     1-17   
 411 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 95.8)     2-18   
 413 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.4)     6-12   
 415 H Amherst Central        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 71.2)    11- 6   
 418 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 62.3)    13- 1   
 420 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 85.7)     5-10   
 422 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-11, 74.5)     9-12   
 427 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (11- 5, 88.4)     4-11   
 429 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 89.9)     5-13   
 504 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 79.9)     9- 8   
 506 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.9)     7-15   
 509 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 87.6)     2-17   
 511 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.1)     3-16   
 516 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     7- 6   
 518 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.8)     2-11   
 520 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.4)     1- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Frontier                1- 8      -7    -8           1.65
   406 A Hamburg                 1-17     -16   -25           0.00
   411 A Orchard Park            2-18     -16   -21           0.00
   413 H West Seneca East        6-12      -6    -9    +      3.11
   415 H Amherst Central        11- 6       5     5          -0.03
   418 A North Tonawanda        13- 1      12    12           0.00
   420 A Grand Island            5-10      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   422 A Lake Shore Central      9-12      -3     0    -     -2.82
   427 A Sweet Home              4-11      -7   -14    +      3.00
   429 H Williamsville North     5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   504 H Williamsville East      9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.66
   506 A Williamsville South     7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   509 H East Aurora             2-17     -15   -11           0.00
   511 H Niagara Wheatfield      3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   516 H Eden                    7- 6       1    -7    +++    8.18
   518 H West Seneca West        2-11      -9    -2    ---   -6.47
   520 A West Seneca East        1- 9      -8   -11    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H West Seneca West        2-11      -9    -2    ---   -6.47
   422 A Lake Shore Central      9-12      -3     0    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Eden                    7- 6       1    -7    +++    8.18
   420 A Grand Island            5-10      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   504 H Williamsville East      9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.66
   413 H West Seneca East        6-12      -6    -9    +      3.11
   427 A Sweet Home              4-11      -7   -14    +      3.00
   429 H Williamsville North     5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   506 A Williamsville South     7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   520 A West Seneca East        1- 9      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.29 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.85 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/