Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Kevin Travis          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.6880798    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)     6- 7   
 401 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 93.0)    11- 8   
 406 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 66.9)    17- 2   
 409 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 96.9)     9-14   
 413 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 86.2)    14-10   
 415 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 4, 98.9)     5-10   
 418 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 89.3)    11-13   
 420 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)     9-10   
 425 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.9)    19- 7   
 428 H Cold Spring Harbor     NY C  Sec 8   (18- 1, 99.9)     5-13   
 430 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.9)    13-10   
 503 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 98.2)    12-13   
 505 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 81.7)    16- 6   
 507 A Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 81.0)    15- 9   
 510 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 93.3)     6-11   
 512 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 73.4)    18- 5   
 517 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 93.0)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Smithtown West          6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.95
   401 H Sachem North           11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.89
   406 A Copiague               17- 2      15    23           0.00
   409 H West Islip              9-14      -5    -5           0.84
   413 A William Floyd          14-10       4     3           0.25
   415 H Ward Melville           5-10      -5    -7    +      2.83
   418 A Bay Shore              11-13      -2     0    -     -2.65
   420 A Smithtown East          9-10      -1    -9    +++    8.93
   425 A Lindenhurst            19- 7      12     6    +      3.94
   428 H Cold Spring Harbor      5-13      -8    -9          n/a  
   430 H Riverhead              13-10       3     2           0.86
   503 H Connetquot             12-13      -1    -7    +++    6.15
   505 H North Babylon          16- 6      10     9           0.59
   507 A Kings Park             15- 9       6     8    -     -2.92
   510 H Half Hollow Hills East  6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.77
   512 A Brentwood              18- 5      13    16           0.00
   517 A Sachem North            8-15      -7    -3    -     -4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Bay Shore              11-13      -2     0    -     -2.65
   507 A Kings Park             15- 9       6     8    -     -2.92
   510 H Half Hollow Hills East  6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.77
   517 A Sachem North            8-15      -7    -3    -     -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Smithtown East          9-10      -1    -9    +++    8.93
   503 H Connetquot             12-13      -1    -7    +++    6.15
   329 A Smithtown West          6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.95
   401 H Sachem North           11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.89
   415 H Ward Melville           5-10      -5    -7    +      2.83
   425 A Lindenhurst            19- 7      12     6    +      3.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.52 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.13 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/