Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ 4  North            
   Nickname = J Red Devils           Coach  =   Mike Vergalito        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0287476    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Hillsborough           NJ 4  North   ( 7-11, 82.6)     8- 4   
 402 H Ridgewood              NJ 4  North   (16- 2, 97.9)     7- 8 3o
 404 H Westfield              NJ 4  North   (11- 9, 91.3)     8- 7   
 406 A Montgomery             NJ 4  South   (16- 4, 95.0)     4- 8   
 413 A Watchung Hills         NJ 4  North   ( 8- 9, 86.5)     7- 6  o
 416 H North Hunterdon        NJ 4  North   (12- 7, 89.5)     9- 8   
 418 H Hopewell Valley        NJ 2  South   (10-10, 84.6)     8- 3   
 420 H Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ 4  North   (19- 1, 97.5)     9-11   
 423 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   ( 7- 9, 83.4)    12- 6   
 427 H Somerville             NJ 2  South   ( 6-12, 81.7)     9- 4   
 430 H Moorestown             NJ 3  South   (18- 4, 94.8)     6- 5  o
 504 A Ridge                  NJ 4  North   (10- 7, 89.9)    10- 8   
 510 H Phillipsburg           NJ 3  North   (11- 8, 79.4)    15- 3   
 512 H North Hunterdon        NJ 4  North   (12- 7, 89.5)     9-10   
 516 A Chatham                NJ 2  North   (19- 7, 93.6)     5- 9   
 518 H Clifton                NJ 4  North   ( 7-10, 75.2)    17- 1   
 521 H Ridge                  NJ 4  North   (10- 7, 89.9)     9- 4   
 525 A Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ 4  North   (19- 1, 97.5)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Hillsborough            8- 4       4     7    -     -3.61
   402 H Ridgewood               7- 8 3o   -1    -5    ++     4.22
   404 H Westfield               8- 7       1     1          -0.36
   406 A Montgomery              4- 8      -4    -4           0.83
   413 A Watchung Hills          7- 6  o    1     3    -     -2.67
   416 H North Hunterdon         9- 8       1     3    -     -2.12
   418 H Hopewell Valley         8- 3       5     8    -     -3.01
   420 H Bridgewater-Raritan     9-11      -2    -4    +      2.84
   423 H Immaculata             12- 6       6     9    -     -3.29
   427 H Somerville              9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   430 H Moorestown              6- 5  o    1    -2    +      3.19
   504 A Ridge                  10- 8       2     0           1.67
   510 H Phillipsburg           15- 3      12    13           0.00
   512 H North Hunterdon         9-10      -1     3    --    -4.12
   516 A Chatham                 5- 9      -4    -3          -0.62
   518 H Clifton                17- 1      16    17           0.00
   521 H Ridge                   9- 4       5     2    +      2.23
   525 A Bridgewater-Raritan     8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Somerville              9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   512 H North Hunterdon         9-10      -1     3    --    -4.12
   330 A Hillsborough            8- 4       4     7    -     -3.61
   413 A Watchung Hills          7- 6  o    1     3    -     -2.67
   416 H North Hunterdon         9- 8       1     3    -     -2.12
   418 H Hopewell Valley         8- 3       5     8    -     -3.01
   423 H Immaculata             12- 6       6     9    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   525 A Bridgewater-Raritan     8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.27
   402 H Ridgewood               7- 8 3o   -1    -5    ++     4.22
   420 H Bridgewater-Raritan     9-11      -2    -4    +      2.84
   430 H Moorestown              6- 5  o    1    -2    +      3.19
   521 H Ridge                   9- 4       5     2    +      2.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.43 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.23 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/