Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Tom Rooney            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5969086    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.9)    16- 6   
 329 N Calvert Hall           MD A  MIAA    (14- 5, 96.2)     3-19   
 331 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 89.6)    12- 6   
 404 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 98.2)     7-15   
 406 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 73.4)    17- 1   
 413 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 75.2)    16- 6   
 418 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 92.9)     8-12   
 420 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)     3-13   
 426 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 91.6)     8- 9   
 428 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)    12-13   
 430 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 86.9)    17- 8   
 503 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 4, 98.9)     8-10   
 505 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.8)    15- 9   
 507 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 93.3)    12- 7   
 510 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 96.9)     6-11   
 512 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 66.9)    20- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Longwood               16- 6      10    12           0.00
   329 N Calvert Hall            3-19     -16    -5          n/a  
   331 H Northport              12- 6       6     1    ++     4.46
   404 A Connetquot              7-15      -8    -8           0.18
   406 A Brentwood              17- 1      16    16           0.00
   413 H Patchogue-Medford      16- 6      10    15           0.00
   418 A Commack                 8-12      -4    -2          -1.12
   420 A Smithtown West          3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.13
   426 H Walt Whitman            8- 9      -1     0          -0.58
   428 H Smithtown East         12-13      -1    -8    +++    7.74
   430 A Sachem East            17- 8       9     3    ++     5.86
   503 H Ward Melville           8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.75
   505 H Middle Country         15- 9       6     8    -     -2.32
   507 A Half Hollow Hills East 12- 7       5    -3    +++    8.26
   510 A West Islip              6-11      -5    -6           1.87
   512 A Copiague               20- 3      17    23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 N Calvert Hall            3-19     -16    -5    --         
   420 A Smithtown West          3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.13
   505 H Middle Country         15- 9       6     8    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Smithtown East         12-13      -1    -8    +++    7.74
   507 A Half Hollow Hills East 12- 7       5    -3    +++    8.26
   331 H Northport              12- 6       6     1    ++     4.46
   430 A Sachem East            17- 8       9     3    ++     5.86
   503 H Ward Melville           8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.60 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.59 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/