Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Gordie Hodgson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.7090454    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Seaford                NY C  Sec 8   (11- 6, 87.1)    20- 2   
 329 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)    13-15   
 331 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.9)    13- 8   
 408 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 66.9)    20- 4   
 411 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 93.0)     6- 5   
 413 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)    10- 9   
 415 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 86.2)    13- 5   
 420 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 89.3)    12-10   
 426 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 96.9)     5-13   
 428 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 81.7)    13- 8   
 430 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 89.6)    12-11  o
 503 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.9)    15-10   
 505 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 4, 98.9)     4- 7   
 507 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 90.6)     7-12   
 510 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 90.5)    11- 6   
 512 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 98.2)     7- 8   
 517 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 89.3)    11-10  o
 520 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 98.2)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Seaford                20- 2      18     5          n/a  
   329 A Smithtown East         13-15      -2    -7    ++     5.15
   331 A Riverhead              13- 8       5     3           1.19
   408 H Copiague               20- 4      16    26           0.00
   411 H Sachem North            6- 5       1     0           0.11
   413 H Smithtown West         10- 9       1    -2    +      3.06
   415 H William Floyd          13- 5       8     7           0.35
   420 H Bay Shore              12-10       2     4    -     -2.54
   426 A West Islip              5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.84
   428 A North Babylon          13- 8       5    11    --    -5.00
   430 A Northport              12-11  o    1     3    -     -2.14
   503 H Lindenhurst            15-10       5     9    --    -4.95
   505 A Ward Melville           4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.15
   507 H Half Hollow Hills West  7-12      -5     3    ---   -8.26
   510 A Huntington             11- 6       5     2    +      2.77
   512 H Connetquot              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.37
   517 H Bay Shore              11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.54
   520 A Connetquot              4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Half Hollow Hills West  7-12      -5     3    ---   -8.26
   428 A North Babylon          13- 8       5    11    --    -5.00
   503 H Lindenhurst            15-10       5     9    --    -4.95
   520 A Connetquot              4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.52
   420 H Bay Shore              12-10       2     4    -     -2.54
   426 A West Islip              5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.84
   430 A Northport              12-11  o    1     3    -     -2.14
   517 H Bay Shore              11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Seaford                20- 2      18     5    ++         
   329 A Smithtown East         13-15      -2    -7    ++     5.15
   413 H Smithtown West         10- 9       1    -2    +      3.06
   505 A Ward Melville           4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.15
   510 A Huntington             11- 6       5     2    +      2.77
   512 H Connetquot              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.30 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.49 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/