Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-03          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   John Larkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.2704926    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Pinecrest              NC    Conf-03 ( 5-10, 78.9)    13- 3   
 303 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-06 (11-10, 84.4)    14- 2   
 308 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (11- 6, 88.1)    12- 4   
 310 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 6-11, 81.9)    13- 1   
 311 H Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 4-12, 74.1)    17- 3   
 315 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-05 ( 5-14, 81.0)    17- 3   
 318 A Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (17- 2, 98.8)     9-10  o
 322 H Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (16- 4, 96.7)    11-12   
 324 A Athens Drive           NC    Conf-03 ( 9- 9, 88.3)    15-10   
 405 H Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 1-14, 72.9)    14- 1   
 413 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 5-11, 77.4)    15- 2   
 414 A Broughton              NC    Conf-04 (17- 1, 95.6)     8-10   
 415 A Pinecrest              NC    Conf-03 ( 5-10, 78.9)    17- 3   
 421 A Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 4-12, 74.1)    17- 3   
 423 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 6-11, 81.9)    17- 0   
 426 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 (14- 5, 95.9)    12- 6   
 429 H Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (17- 2, 98.8)    10-15   
 506 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-05 (19- 3, 99.9)     6-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Pinecrest              13- 3      10    17           0.00
   303 A Chapel Hill            14- 2      12    10           0.00
   308 A East Chapel Hill       12- 4       8     6           1.15
   310 H Panther Creek          13- 1      12    14           0.00
   311 H Fuquay-Varina          17- 3      14    22           0.00
   315 H Durham Jordan          17- 3      14    15           0.00
   318 A Apex                    9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.85
   322 H Middle Creek           11-12      -1     0          -0.82
   324 A Athens Drive           15-10       5     6          -1.66
   405 H Friendship             14- 1      13    23           0.00
   413 A Cary HS                15- 2      13    17           0.00
   414 A Broughton               8-10      -2     0          -1.41
   415 A Pinecrest              17- 3      14    16           0.00
   421 A Fuquay-Varina          17- 3      14    20           0.00
   423 A Panther Creek          17- 0      17    13           0.00
   426 H Holly Springs          12- 6       6     0    ++     5.43
   429 H Apex                   10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.64
   506 A Cardinal Gibbons        6-12      -6    -4          -1.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Apex                   10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Holly Springs          12- 6       6     0    ++     5.43
   318 A Apex                    9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.73 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.02 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/