Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Durkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6085815    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (12- 7, 90.1)     3- 9   
 315 A St Albans              DC    IAC     ( 8-11, 82.7)     6-12   
 318 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11-10, 87.0)     8- 7   
 324 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (15- 6, 92.2)     3-13   
 326 N Oakdale                MD 32 West-2  (13- 3, 90.0)     3- 4   
 326 A Old Mill               MD 43 East-1  ( 4-11, 79.2)    11- 3   
 330 H Shaker Heights         OH 1  NoEast  ( 9-11, 86.0)    12- 6   
 401 H River Hill             MD 32 South-2 (13- 4, 90.1)     8- 7  o
 405 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 7-12, 81.9)     9- 6   
 408 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 4-15, 75.6)     8- 3   
 411 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (21- 2, 98.5)     3-11   
 415 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (19- 2, 99.9)     6-13   
 419 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    ( 9-11, 84.6)    11- 5   
 425 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (14- 4, 92.8)     8- 3   
 427 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (12- 7, 86.3)     3- 4   
 429 A The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (13- 7, 86.3)     7- 6   
 503 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    ( 9-11, 84.6)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Georgetown Prep         3- 9      -6    -5          n/a  
   315 A St Albans               6-12      -6     2          n/a  
   318 A DeMatha                 8- 7       1    -1    +      2.99
   324 A Paul VI                 3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.88
   326 N Oakdale                 3- 4      -1    -4          n/a  
   326 A Old Mill               11- 3       8     5          n/a  
   330 H Shaker Heights         12- 6       6     0          n/a  
   401 H River Hill              8- 7  o    1    -4          n/a  
   405 H Bishop O'Connell        9- 6       3     3          -0.85
   408 H Bishop Ireton           8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   411 H Bullis                  3-11      -8   -12          n/a  
   415 H Gonzaga                 6-13      -7   -14    +      3.00
   419 H St Marys Ryken         11- 5       6     1    ++     4.89
   425 H Shaker                  8- 3       5    -6          n/a  
   427 A St Johns DC             3- 4      -1    -1           0.24
   429 A The Heights             7- 6       1    -1    +      2.29
   503 H St Marys Ryken          8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A St Albans               6-12      -6     2    ---        
   408 H Bishop Ireton           8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   324 A Paul VI                 3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.88
   503 H St Marys Ryken          8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Shaker                  8- 3       5    -6    +++        
   330 H Shaker Heights         12- 6       6     0    ++         
   401 H River Hill              8- 7  o    1    -4    ++         
   419 H St Marys Ryken         11- 5       6     1    ++     4.89
   318 A DeMatha                 8- 7       1    -1    +      2.99
   326 N Oakdale                 3- 4      -1    -4    +          
   326 A Old Mill               11- 3       8     5    +          
   411 H Bullis                  3-11      -8   -12    +          
   415 H Gonzaga                 6-13      -7   -14    +      3.00
   429 A The Heights             7- 6       1    -1    +      2.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.39 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.32 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/