Region = DC WCAC Nickname = D Falcons Coach = Matt DurkinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.6085815 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Georgetown Prep DC IAC (12- 7, 90.1) 3- 9 315 A St Albans DC IAC ( 8-11, 82.7) 6-12 318 A DeMatha DC WCAC (11-10, 87.0) 8- 7 324 A Paul VI DC WCAC (15- 6, 92.2) 3-13 326 N Oakdale MD 32 West-2 (13- 3, 90.0) 3- 4 326 A Old Mill MD 43 East-1 ( 4-11, 79.2) 11- 3 330 H Shaker Heights OH 1 NoEast ( 9-11, 86.0) 12- 6 401 H River Hill MD 32 South-2 (13- 4, 90.1) 8- 7 o 405 H Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 7-12, 81.9) 9- 6 408 H Bishop Ireton DC WCAC ( 4-15, 75.6) 8- 3 411 H Bullis DC IAC (21- 2, 98.5) 3-11 415 H Gonzaga DC WCAC (19- 2, 99.9) 6-13 419 H St Marys Ryken DC WCAC ( 9-11, 84.6) 11- 5 425 H Shaker NY A Sec 2 (14- 4, 92.8) 8- 3 427 A St Johns DC DC WCAC (12- 7, 86.3) 3- 4 429 A The Heights MD MILL-W (13- 7, 86.3) 7- 6 503 H St Marys Ryken DC WCAC ( 9-11, 84.6) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Georgetown Prep 3- 9 -6 -5 n/a 315 A St Albans 6-12 -6 2 n/a 318 A DeMatha 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.99 324 A Paul VI 3-13 -10 -7 - -2.88 326 N Oakdale 3- 4 -1 -4 n/a 326 A Old Mill 11- 3 8 5 n/a 330 H Shaker Heights 12- 6 6 0 n/a 401 H River Hill 8- 7 o 1 -4 n/a 405 H Bishop O'Connell 9- 6 3 3 -0.85 408 H Bishop Ireton 8- 3 5 10 -- -5.00 411 H Bullis 3-11 -8 -12 n/a 415 H Gonzaga 6-13 -7 -14 + 3.00 419 H St Marys Ryken 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.89 425 H Shaker 8- 3 5 -6 n/a 427 A St Johns DC 3- 4 -1 -1 0.24 429 A The Heights 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.29 503 H St Marys Ryken 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A St Albans 6-12 -6 2 --- 408 H Bishop Ireton 8- 3 5 10 -- -5.00 324 A Paul VI 3-13 -10 -7 - -2.88 503 H St Marys Ryken 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.11OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Shaker 8- 3 5 -6 +++ 330 H Shaker Heights 12- 6 6 0 ++ 401 H River Hill 8- 7 o 1 -4 ++ 419 H St Marys Ryken 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.89 318 A DeMatha 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.99 326 N Oakdale 3- 4 -1 -4 + 326 A Old Mill 11- 3 8 5 + 411 H Bullis 3-11 -8 -12 + 415 H Gonzaga 6-13 -7 -14 + 3.00 429 A The Heights 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.29/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.39 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 72.32 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 17 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3