Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.6479874    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Avon HS                CT M          ( 8-10, 73.4)     8- 9   
 408 A Canton                 CT S          ( 8- 9, 65.0)     9- 8   
 412 H Somers                 CT S          (19- 2, 85.6)     9- 8  o
 415 A Ellington              CT S          (11- 8, 71.0)     8- 4   
 419 A Suffield HS            CT S          ( 9- 9, 70.6)    10- 8   
 421 H East Catholic          CT S          (17- 4, 80.4)    10-11  o
 423 A Rocky Hill             CT S          (16- 4, 73.8)    13-11   
 428 H Canton                 CT S          ( 8- 9, 65.0)    16- 3   
 503 A Somers                 CT S          (19- 2, 85.6)    11-15   
 505 H Ellington              CT S          (11- 8, 71.0)    10- 4   
 507 A Newington              CT M          ( 5-11, 60.6)    16- 1   
 510 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 9- 9, 70.6)    15-11   
 512 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          ( 4-12, 66.9)     9- 5   
 516 H Brookfield             CT M          ( 9-10, 72.4)    16- 7   
 518 A Tolland                CT S          ( 4-13, 57.8)    18- 4   
 520 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 9- 9, 69.6)     9- 3   
 524 H Ellington              CT S          (11- 8, 71.0)    13- 8   
 526 N Somers                 CT S          (19- 2, 85.6)     9-11   
 601 H Haddam-Killingworth    CT S          (10- 9, 66.4)    17- 2   
 604 H Rocky Hill             CT S          (16- 4, 73.8)    16-12   
 608 N Somers                 CT S          (19- 2, 85.6)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Avon HS                 8- 9      -1     5    ---   -6.84
   408 A Canton                  9- 8       1    12    ---   -9.00
   412 H Somers                  9- 8  o    1    -6    +++    7.35
   415 A Ellington               8- 4       4     6    -     -2.71
   419 A Suffield HS            10- 8       2     7    --    -5.13
   421 H East Catholic          10-11  o   -1    -1           0.15
   423 A Rocky Hill             13-11       2     3          -1.90
   428 H Canton                 16- 3      13    14           0.00
   503 A Somers                 11-15      -4    -7    +      3.94
   505 H Ellington              10- 4       6     8    -     -2.30
   507 A Newington              16- 1      15    17           0.00
   510 H Suffield HS            15-11       4     8    --    -4.72
   512 A Hall-West Hartford      9- 5       4    10    ---   -6.00
   516 H Brookfield             16- 7       9     6    +      2.10
   518 A Tolland                18- 4      14    19           0.00
   520 H Northwest Catholic      9- 3       6     9    -     -3.63
   524 H Ellington              13- 8       5     8    -     -3.30
   526 N Somers                  9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.15
   601 H Haddam-Killingworth    17- 2      15    12           0.00
   604 H Rocky Hill             16-12       4     5          -1.49
   608 N Somers                 10-12      -2    -7    ++     5.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Avon HS                 8- 9      -1     5    ---   -6.84
   408 A Canton                  9- 8       1    12    ---   -9.00
   512 A Hall-West Hartford      9- 5       4    10    ---   -6.00
   419 A Suffield HS            10- 8       2     7    --    -5.13
   510 H Suffield HS            15-11       4     8    --    -4.72
   415 A Ellington               8- 4       4     6    -     -2.71
   505 H Ellington              10- 4       6     8    -     -2.30
   520 H Northwest Catholic      9- 3       6     9    -     -3.63
   524 H Ellington              13- 8       5     8    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Somers                  9- 8  o    1    -6    +++    7.35
   526 N Somers                  9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.15
   608 N Somers                 10-12      -2    -7    ++     5.15
   503 A Somers                 11-15      -4    -7    +      3.94
   516 H Brookfield             16- 7       9     6    +      2.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.49 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.72 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/