Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Sean Muldowney        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0024261    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 75.3)     8- 1   
 407 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 77.8)    11- 2   
 412 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.4)     7- 6  o
 414 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 95.8)     4-18   
 418 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.8)    10- 2   
 421 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 83.5)     2- 1   
 425 H Amherst Central        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 71.2)    17- 2   
 426 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 77.8)     5- 6   
 428 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.4)     7- 8   
 430 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.9)     3- 5   
 504 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 95.8)     2-19   
 507 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 83.5)     7- 9   
 509 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.4)     5-10   
 514 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (11- 5, 88.4)     4-10   
 517 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 79.9)    10- 6   
 519 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 89.9)     4-15   
 524 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 77.8)    12- 7   
 526 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 95.8)     2-25   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Iroquois Central        8- 1       7     8          -1.65
   407 H Lockport               11- 2       9     6    +      2.87
   412 A Lancaster               7- 6  o    1    -5    +++    6.34
   414 H Orchard Park            4-18     -14   -11           0.00
   418 H West Seneca West       10- 2       8     5    +      2.83
   421 A Clarence                2- 1       1    -1    +      2.45
   425 H Amherst Central        17- 2      15    12           0.00
   426 A Lockport                5- 6      -1     4    --    -5.22
   428 H Lancaster               7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.43
   430 H Williamsville South     3- 5      -2    -1          -0.02
   504 A Orchard Park            2-19     -17   -13           0.00
   507 H Clarence                7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.46
   509 H West Seneca East        5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.58
   514 A Sweet Home              4-10      -6    -6           0.35
   517 A Williamsville East     10- 6       4     2           1.87
   519 A Williamsville North     4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.17
   524 H Lockport               12- 7       5     6          -1.13
   526 A Orchard Park            2-25     -23   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Lockport                5- 6      -1     4    --    -5.22
   507 H Clarence                7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.46
   509 H West Seneca East        5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.58
   519 A Williamsville North     4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Lancaster               7- 6  o    1    -5    +++    6.34
   407 H Lockport               11- 2       9     6    +      2.87
   418 H West Seneca West       10- 2       8     5    +      2.83
   421 A Clarence                2- 1       1    -1    +      2.45
   428 H Lancaster               7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.98 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.08 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/