Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Furies               Coach  =   Marc Winbush          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7915878    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Porter Ridge           NC    Conf-11 ( 3-14, 71.3)    16- 3   
 308 H Cannon School          NC 1  NCISAA  ( 9-11, 90.6)     6-15   
 311 A Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 8, 86.8)    13-12   
 312 N Porter-Gaud            SC    SCISA   ( 9- 6, 77.9)    15-10   
 312 N Univ School Nashville  TN 2  Central (10-11, 85.3)    13-14  o
 315 A Charlotte Christian    NC 1  NCISAA  ( 8-12, 89.2)     9-18   
 318 H Charlotte Cou Day      NC 1  NCISAA  (19- 6, 99.1)     3-11   
 322 H Cary Academy           NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6- 8, 80.8)     6- 7   
 405 H Davidson Day           NC 2  NCISAA  ( 4-12, 79.1)    10- 7   
 413 H Greensboro Day         NC 1  NCISAA  (12- 9, 91.0)     6-17   
 415 A Wesleyan Christian     NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6-10, 74.0)    10- 1   
 419 A Ravenscroft School     NC 1  NCISAA  (17- 2, 99.9)     3-14   
 421 A Davidson Day           NC 2  NCISAA  ( 4-12, 79.1)    13-12   
 426 H Durham Academy         NC 1  NCISAA  (11- 8, 91.4)     5-15   
 429 A Greensboro Day         NC 1  NCISAA  (12- 9, 91.0)     7-11   
 503 H Wesleyan Christian     NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6-10, 74.0)    14- 1   
 506 A North Raleigh Christia NC 1  NCISAA  ( 7- 8, 77.8)    16-11   
 510 H Asheville School       NC 2  NCISAA  ( 6- 5, 81.7)    15- 5   
 514 H Epiphany School        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5- 7, 71.3)    17- 3   
 517 H Covenant Day           NC 2  NCISAA  ( 6-11, 80.4)     8- 6   
 521 H Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 8, 86.8)    13-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Porter Ridge           16- 3      13    13          n/a  
   308 H Cannon School           6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.76
   311 A Cape Fear Academy      13-12       1    -1    +      2.42
   312 N Porter-Gaud            15-10       5     7          n/a  
   312 N Univ School Nashville  13-14  o   -1     0          n/a  
   315 A Charlotte Christian     9-18      -9    -3    --    -5.16
   318 H Charlotte Cou Day       3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
   322 H Cary Academy            6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.50
   405 H Davidson Day           10- 7       3     7    --    -4.22
   413 H Greensboro Day          6-17     -11    -4    --    -5.38
   415 A Wesleyan Christian     10- 1       9    11          -1.00
   419 A Ravenscroft School      3-14     -11   -14           0.00
   421 A Davidson Day           13-12       1     6    --    -5.22
   426 H Durham Academy          5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.91
   429 A Greensboro Day          7-11      -4    -5           1.62
   503 H Wesleyan Christian     14- 1      13    12           0.00
   506 A North Raleigh Christia 16-11       5     7    -     -2.54
   510 H Asheville School       15- 5      10     4    ++     5.33
   514 H Epiphany School        17- 3      14    15           0.00
   517 H Covenant Day            8- 6       2     5    -     -3.99
   521 H Cape Fear Academy      13-12       1     0           1.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Cary Academy            6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.50
   308 H Cannon School           6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.76
   315 A Charlotte Christian     9-18      -9    -3    --    -5.16
   405 H Davidson Day           10- 7       3     7    --    -4.22
   413 H Greensboro Day          6-17     -11    -4    --    -5.38
   421 A Davidson Day           13-12       1     6    --    -5.22
   426 H Durham Academy          5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.91
   312 N Porter-Gaud            15-10       5     7    -          
   506 A North Raleigh Christia 16-11       5     7    -     -2.54
   517 H Covenant Day            8- 6       2     5    -     -3.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Asheville School       15- 5      10     4    ++     5.33
   311 A Cape Fear Academy      13-12       1    -1    +      2.42
   318 H Charlotte Cou Day       3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.85 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.30 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/