Epiphany School               5 - 7


 
                                     Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   James Chiavola        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   76.0034180    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 H South Brunswick        NC    Conf-01 ( 2-15, 63.8)     4- 1   
 311 A Croatan                NC    Conf-02 (11- 7, 75.5)     4- 6   
 317 H Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 1-13, 63.2)    12- 3   
 322 A Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 1-13, 63.2)    15- 2   
 408 H Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5-10, 72.4)     7- 8  o
 413 A West Carteret          NC    Conf-02 ( 0-15, 55.7)    12- 1   
 415 H Kerr-Vance Academy     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3-10, 68.8)     1- 0   
 420 A St. David's School     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 9- 4, 79.8)     5- 9   
 426 A J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 ( 6-10, 71.1)    12-13   
 429 A Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5-10, 72.4)     7-13   
 509 H Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 8, 86.8)     3-22   
 514 A Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  (12- 9, 85.8)     3-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H South Brunswick         4- 1       3     8          n/a  
   311 A Croatan                 4- 6      -2    -4          n/a  
   317 H Parrott Academy        12- 3       9     8           0.42
   322 A Parrott Academy        15- 2      13     7    +      2.42
   408 H Cary Christian          7- 8  o   -1     0          -0.40
   413 A West Carteret          12- 1      11    14          n/a  
   420 A St. David's School      5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.96
   426 A J.H. Rose              12-13      -1     0          n/a  
   429 A Cary Christian          7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.40
   509 H Cape Fear Academy       3-22     -19   -14           0.00
   514 A Forsyth Cou Day         3-17     -14   -15           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H South Brunswick         4- 1       3     8    --         
   429 A Cary Christian          7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.40


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A St. David's School      5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.96
   311 A Croatan                 4- 6      -2    -4    +          
   322 A Parrott Academy        15- 2      13     7    +      2.42




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.31 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.60 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -19.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -13.0


  
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