Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ 4  South            
   Nickname = J Bears                Coach  =   Rory Murray           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.8631744    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Scotch Plains Fanwood  NJ 3  North   (13- 6, 88.2)     4-15   
 401 H Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   (16- 4, 88.8)     6-14   
 405 A St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 84.9)     9-17   
 409 A Hillsborough           NJ 4  North   ( 7-11, 82.6)     3-12   
 412 H Bishop Ahr             NJ    Grp-A   ( 1-14, 56.3)    19- 4   
 414 A South Brunswick        NJ 4  South   ( 7-11, 76.0)    11- 9   
 416 A St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7-11, 74.1)     4-11   
 419 H Old Bridge             NJ 4  South   (11- 8, 78.6)    10-14   
 420 A J.P. Stevens           NJ 4  North   ( 5-12, 63.6)    17- 0   
 423 H Pennington             NJ    Private ( 9- 9, 76.3)    14-13   
 426 H Jackson Memorial       NJ 3  South   ( 4-11, 69.6)    15- 2   
 428 H Edison                 NJ 4  North   ( 5-17, 60.6)    15- 2   
 430 A West Windsor-PB So     NJ 3  South   ( 9-12, 78.2)    10- 8   
 503 H North Brunswick        NJ 4  North   ( 5-14, 64.1)    14- 3   
 507 A West Orange            NJ 4  North   ( 9- 8, 74.4)    14- 9   
 510 H South Brunswick        NJ 4  South   ( 7-11, 76.0)    11-10  o
 512 A St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 84.9)     4-19   
 516 H Howell                 NJ 4  South   ( 9-10, 75.7)    14-13 2o
 518 A Freehold Township      NJ 4  South   (11- 6, 81.5)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Scotch Plains Fanwood   4-15     -11    -9          -0.32
   401 H Monroe Township         6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   405 A St Joseph Metuchen      9-17      -8    -8           0.78
   409 A Hillsborough            3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.51
   412 H Bishop Ahr             19- 4      15    22           0.00
   414 A South Brunswick        11- 9       2     0           1.87
   416 A St John Vianney         4-11      -7     1    ---   -8.97
   419 H Old Bridge             10-14      -4     0    -     -3.96
   420 A J.P. Stevens           17- 0      17    12           0.00
   423 H Pennington             14-13       1     2          -1.20
   426 H Jackson Memorial       15- 2      13     8           1.00
   428 H Edison                 15- 2      13    17           0.00
   430 A West Windsor-PB So     10- 8       2    -2    ++     4.06
   503 H North Brunswick        14- 3      11    14           0.00
   507 A West Orange            14- 9       5     1    +      3.28
   510 H South Brunswick        11-10  o    1     2          -1.57
   512 A St Joseph Metuchen      4-19     -15    -8          -1.22
   516 H Howell                 14-13 2o    1     2          -1.86
   518 A Freehold Township       4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A St John Vianney         4-11      -7     1    ---   -8.97
   409 A Hillsborough            3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.51
   419 H Old Bridge             10-14      -4     0    -     -3.96
   518 A Freehold Township       4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A West Windsor-PB So     10- 8       2    -2    ++     4.06
   401 H Monroe Township         6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   507 A West Orange            14- 9       5     1    +      3.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.33 Local Power Rank...........   115
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.81 Local SOS Rank.............   133
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............   102
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    55
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    93
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
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