Region = MI 2  Reg8-2           
   Nickname = I Pilots               Coach  =   Matt Lorio            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.7448120    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Grosse Pointe South    MI 2  Reg5-2  ( 7- 9, 76.7)    13-15   
 405 H Brother Rice           MI 1  Reg2-1  (21- 2, 99.9)     0-19   
 409 H St Mary Cath Central   MI 2  Reg7-2  ( 8- 9, 67.2)    18- 2   
 413 A Cranbrook              MI 2  Reg8-2  ( 7-14, 78.4)     4- 6   
 416 A Forest Hills Central   MI 2  Reg7-2  (20- 2, 95.6)     4-18   
 419 H OL St Mary's           MI 2  Reg8-2  (10- 9, 81.5)     7-11   
 423 H Midland                MI 1  Reg2-1  (14- 4, 84.8)     7-10   
 426 A Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1  Reg4-1  (17- 5, 94.4)     3-11   
 429 A Haslett-Williamston    MI 2  Reg6-2  (13- 7, 79.6)    10- 8   
 430 A Okemos                 MI 2  Reg6-2  (17- 3, 89.1)     4- 9   
 504 H Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1  Reg1-1  (11-12, 84.5)     5- 9   
 507 H Troy Athens            MI 1  Reg4-1  ( 8-10, 77.4)     6- 4   
 510 A Lake Orion             MI 1  Reg2-1  (16- 4, 85.2)     5- 6   
 513 A Grosse Pointe North    MI 2  Reg7-2  (13- 4, 79.3)     6-10   
 521 A Utica Eisenhower       MI 1  Reg4-1  ( 8-11, 76.5)    13- 9   
 523 H Brother Rice Orange    MI    Indep   ( 8- 2, 81.6)    15-14   
 527 N Walled Lake Northern   MI 2  Reg8-2  (10- 7, 72.8)    10- 6   
 601 N OL St Mary's           MI 2  Reg8-2  (10- 9, 81.5)     9- 8 2o
 603 N Cranbrook              MI 2  Reg8-2  ( 7-14, 78.4)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Grosse Pointe South    13-15      -2     1    -     -3.35
   405 H Brother Rice            0-19     -19   -21           0.00
   409 H St Mary Cath Central   18- 2      16    10           0.00
   413 A Cranbrook               4- 6      -2    -2           0.68
   416 A Forest Hills Central    4-18     -14   -19           0.00
   419 H OL St Mary's            7-11      -4    -3          -0.50
   423 H Midland                 7-10      -3    -6    +      3.75
   426 A Detroit Catholic Cent   3-11      -8   -18    +      2.00
   429 A Haslett-Williamston    10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.82
   430 A Okemos                  4- 9      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   504 H Univ Detroit Jesuit     5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.52
   507 H Troy Athens             6- 4       2     0           1.33
   510 A Lake Orion              5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.40
   513 A Grosse Pointe North     6-10      -4    -3          -0.47
   521 A Utica Eisenhower       13- 9       4     0    ++     4.75
   523 H Brother Rice Orange    15-14       1    -3    ++     4.60
   527 N Walled Lake Northern   10- 6       4     4          -0.13
   601 N OL St Mary's            9- 8 2o    1    -4    ++     5.64
   603 N Cranbrook               9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   603 N Cranbrook               9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.45
   401 H Grosse Pointe South    13-15      -2     1    -     -3.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Lake Orion              5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.40
   429 A Haslett-Williamston    10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.82
   430 A Okemos                  4- 9      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   521 A Utica Eisenhower       13- 9       4     0    ++     4.75
   523 H Brother Rice Orange    15-14       1    -3    ++     4.60
   601 N OL St Mary's            9- 8 2o    1    -4    ++     5.64
   423 H Midland                 7-10      -3    -6    +      3.75
   426 A Detroit Catholic Cent   3-11      -8   -18    +      2.00
   504 H Univ Detroit Jesuit     5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.52
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.90 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.56 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    63
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/