Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Buckskins            Coach  =   Mike Chadwick         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.3375244    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H West York              PA    York    ( 9- 6, 86.6)     5-17   
 331 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (23- 4, 99.4)     1-19   
 404 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 75.2)     9-13   
 405 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb (16- 4, 95.1)     3-19   
 408 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 85.4)     2-21   
 413 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 84.1)     3-11   
 415 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 71.3)     7- 6   
 419 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 78.1)     2- 9   
 421 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.1)     6-11   
 422 A Red Lion               PA    York    (14- 6, 91.9)     4-19   
 423 H York Suburban          PA    York    ( 8- 6, 88.1)     4-17   
 426 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 73.4)    11-16   
 428 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 78.9)     8-18   
 429 A Kennard-Dale           PA    York    ( 1-15, 65.8)    11- 3   
 503 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 6, 85.2)     4-12   
 505 A Spring Grove           PA    York    ( 8- 8, 85.5)     4-15   
 506 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 92.7)     0-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H West York               5-17     -12   -15           0.00
   331 A Manheim Township        1-19     -18   -29           0.00
   404 A Lancaster Mennonite     9-13      -4    -5           1.73
   405 H Lampeter-Strasburg      3-19     -16   -23           0.00
   408 H Garden Spot             2-21     -19   -14           0.00
   413 A Elizabethtown           3-11      -8   -14    +      2.00
   415 H Cocalico                7- 6       1     0           1.10
   419 H Penn Manor              2- 9      -7    -6          -0.11
   421 A Lancaster Cou Day       6-11      -5    -7    +      2.68
   422 A Red Lion                4-19     -15   -22           0.00
   423 H York Suburban           4-17     -13   -16           0.00
   426 H Ephrata                11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.85
   428 A Cedar Crest             8-18     -10    -9          -0.53
   429 A Kennard-Dale           11- 3       8     3    ++     4.33
   503 A Warwick                 4-12      -8   -15    +      2.00
   505 A Spring Grove            4-15     -11   -16           0.00
   506 H Hempfield               0-16     -16   -21           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Ephrata                11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Kennard-Dale           11- 3       8     3    ++     4.33
   413 A Elizabethtown           3-11      -8   -14    +      2.00
   421 A Lancaster Cou Day       6-11      -5    -7    +      2.68
   503 A Warwick                 4-12      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.35 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.40 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    56
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    57
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.7
/