Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Brett Jeffares        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0192261    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (14- 5, 94.2)    14- 8   
 323 A Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 90.3)     8- 6   
 329 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 89.6)    14- 6   
 401 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 89.3)    15- 5   
 404 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 90.6)    15- 7   
 406 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.9)     9- 8  o
 408 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 91.6)    10- 9   
 413 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 93.0)     9- 8   
 416 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)     9- 8   
 420 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 86.9)    10- 4   
 426 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 4, 98.9)     8- 7  o
 503 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 90.5)    13-12   
 505 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 96.9)     9-10  o
 507 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)    12-14   
 510 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.9)    16- 9   
 512 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 93.3)     8- 7   
 520 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 93.3)    14- 4   
 525 N Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 99.9)    13-12  o
 601 N Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 4, 98.9)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Sayville               14- 8       6     4           1.44
   323 A Islip                   8- 6       2     7    --    -5.33
   329 H Northport              14- 6       8     9          -1.17
   401 A Bay Shore              15- 5      10     8           1.64
   404 H Half Hollow Hills West 15- 7       8     8          -0.18
   406 H Riverhead               9- 8  o    1     9    ---   -8.84
   408 H Walt Whitman           10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.21
   413 A Sachem North            9- 8       1     4    -     -3.70
   416 A Smithtown West          9- 8       1     1          -0.75
   420 H Sachem East            10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   426 H Ward Melville           8- 7  o    1     0           1.12
   503 A Huntington             13-12       1     7    ---   -6.15
   505 H West Islip              9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.87
   507 A Smithtown East         12-14      -2    -2           0.23
   510 A Lindenhurst            16- 9       7    13    -     -3.00
   512 A Half Hollow Hills East  8- 7       1     4    -     -3.37
   520 H Half Hollow Hills East 14- 4      10     5    ++     4.52
   525 N Smithtown East         13-12  o    1    -1    +      2.67
   601 N Ward Melville           5-13      -8     0    ---   -7.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Riverhead               9- 8  o    1     9    ---   -8.84
   408 H Walt Whitman           10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.21
   503 A Huntington             13-12       1     7    ---   -6.15
   601 N Ward Melville           5-13      -8     0    ---   -7.32
   323 A Islip                   8- 6       2     7    --    -5.33
   420 H Sachem East            10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   413 A Sachem North            9- 8       1     4    -     -3.70
   505 H West Islip              9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.87
   510 A Lindenhurst            16- 9       7    13    -     -3.00
   512 A Half Hollow Hills East  8- 7       1     4    -     -3.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H Half Hollow Hills East 14- 4      10     5    ++     4.52
   525 N Smithtown East         13-12  o    1    -1    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.22 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.63 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.210.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/