Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstars           Coach  =   Bill Aldrich          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0687408    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 81.2)    15-10   
 325 A Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 87.2)    11- 6   
 402 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 0-16, 78.1)    17- 1   
 407 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 91.8)     5- 8   
 412 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (13- 7, 92.8)     4-12   
 414 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 85.1)     4- 8   
 418 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 85.9)     4- 3   
 422 A Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   (14- 4, 94.0)     7-14   
 425 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 85.9)     7- 9   
 427 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 91.8)     3- 4   
 429 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (13- 7, 92.8)     9- 8  o
 504 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 94.7)     6-10   
 507 H Colonie Central        NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 80.4)     9- 4   
 510 H Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   (14- 4, 94.0)     6- 7   
 512 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 94.7)     6- 7  o
 517 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 85.1)    16- 8   
 524 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 85.9)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H East Syracuse-Minoa    15-10       5     6          -1.88
   325 A Binghamton             11- 6       5    -2          n/a  
   402 H Union-Endicott         17- 1      16     9          n/a  
   407 H West Genesee            5- 8      -3    -3           0.78
   412 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4-12      -8    -7          -0.32
   414 H Liverpool               4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.93
   418 A Corcoran                4- 3       1     0           1.82
   422 A Auburn                  7-14      -7    -8           1.86
   425 H Corcoran                7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.10
   427 A West Genesee            3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.70
   429 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.76
   504 A Baldwinsville           6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.58
   507 H Colonie Central         9- 4       5     7          n/a  
   510 H Auburn                  6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   512 H Baldwinsville           6- 7  o   -1    -6    ++     5.66
   517 A Liverpool              16- 8       8     0    +++    7.99
   524 A Corcoran                5- 6      -1     0          -0.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Liverpool               4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.93
   425 H Corcoran                7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.10
   507 H Colonie Central         9- 4       5     7    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Binghamton             11- 6       5    -2    +++        
   517 A Liverpool              16- 8       8     0    +++    7.99
   427 A West Genesee            3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.70
   429 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.76
   504 A Baldwinsville           6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.58
   510 H Auburn                  6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   512 H Baldwinsville           6- 7  o   -1    -6    ++     5.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.57 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.78 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/