Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Charles Warkenthien   

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1601791    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.0)     1-13   
 407 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 95.8)     3-12   
 409 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (15- 6, 87.5)     2-14   
 415 A Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Dist-X  (16- 5, 87.4)     8- 9   
 416 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 77.8)     9-10   
 419 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.4)     7- 4   
 421 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 83.0)     1- 2   
 426 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 95.8)     3-10   
 428 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 77.8)     9- 4   
 430 H Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (17- 3, 91.0)     1-10   
 503 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 89.7)     5- 6   
 505 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.4)     7- 6   
 507 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 83.0)     9- 7   
 509 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.1)     4- 7   
 512 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (18- 2, 92.7)     8-11   
 513 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 89.9)     7- 1   
 526 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.4)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Penfield                1-13     -12    -4          n/a  
   407 A Orchard Park            3-12      -9   -13           1.00
   409 A Webster Thomas          2-14     -12    -4          n/a  
   415 A Erie Cathedral Prep     8- 9      -1    -4          n/a  
   416 A Lockport                9-10      -1     4    --    -5.72
   419 H Lancaster               7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.93
   421 H Frontier                1- 2      -1     1    -     -2.45
   426 H Orchard Park            3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   428 H Lockport                9- 4       5     6          -1.63
   430 H Penn Yan                1-10      -9    -6          n/a  
   503 A Timon St Jude           5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.13
   505 A Lancaster               7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.84
   507 A Frontier                9- 7       2     0    +      2.46
   509 A Niagara Wheatfield      4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.60
   512 A Akron                   8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   513 H Williamsville North     7- 1       6    -5    +++   11.42
   526 H Lancaster               5- 7      -2    -2           0.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Penfield                1-13     -12    -4    --         
   409 A Webster Thomas          2-14     -12    -4    --         
   416 A Lockport                9-10      -1     4    --    -5.72
   421 H Frontier                1- 2      -1     1    -     -2.45
   430 H Penn Yan                1-10      -9    -6    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Timon St Jude           5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.13
   512 A Akron                   8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   513 H Williamsville North     7- 1       6    -5    +++   11.42
   419 H Lancaster               7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.93
   505 A Lancaster               7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.84
   509 A Niagara Wheatfield      4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.60
   415 A Erie Cathedral Prep     8- 9      -1    -4    +          
   426 H Orchard Park            3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   507 A Frontier                9- 7       2     0    +      2.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.48 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.42 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/