Conf =  Suburban                  Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Garnet Raiders       Coach  =   Michael Joyce         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.0957336    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 N LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 8- 9, 77.2)    10- 4   
 407 N Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 87.0)     6- 7  o
 409 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 84.3)     6- 5  o
 412 H Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 99.9)     1-22   
 414 A Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 84.3)     9-10   
 416 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (14- 4, 92.8)     8-15   
 419 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 93.0)     6-11   
 421 A Troy                   NY B  Sec 2   ( 5-12, 75.3)     7- 4   
 425 H Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 63.4)    19- 5   
 427 A Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   (15- 5, 92.4)     7-11   
 502 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-15, 71.2)     9- 4   
 505 H Albany HS              NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-15, 68.6)     8- 4   
 507 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 86.6)     4- 9   
 510 A Christian Bros-Albany  NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 81.9)     5- 8   
 512 H Columbia               NY B  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 77.1)     7- 9   
 514 H Ballston Spa           NY B  Sec 2   (12- 7, 90.1)     5-12   
 519 H LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 8- 9, 77.2)     6- 5  o
 521 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 99.9)     5-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 N LaSalle Institute      10- 4       6     3    +      2.89
   407 N Guilderland             6- 7  o   -1    -6    ++     5.68
   409 A Bethlehem               6- 5  o    1    -4    ++     5.59
   412 H Niskayuna               1-22     -21   -18           0.00
   414 A Saratoga Springs        9-10      -1    -4    +      3.60
   416 H Shaker                  8-15      -7   -11    +      3.00
   419 A Shenendehowa            6-11      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   421 A Troy                    7- 4       3     4          -1.43
   425 H Averill Park           19- 5      14    17           0.00
   427 A Burnt Hills             7-11      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   502 A Schenectady             9- 4       5     8    -     -3.52
   505 H Albany HS               8- 4       4    12    ---   -6.00
   507 A Cicero-North Syracuse   4- 9      -5    -7          n/a  
   510 A Christian Bros-Albany   5- 8      -3    -2          -0.85
   512 H Columbia                7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.94
   514 H Ballston Spa            5-12      -7    -9    +      2.06
   519 H LaSalle Institute       6- 5  o    1     3    -     -2.78
   521 A Niskayuna               5-23     -18   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Albany HS               8- 4       4    12    ---   -6.00
   512 H Columbia                7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.94
   502 A Schenectady             9- 4       5     8    -     -3.52
   519 H LaSalle Institute       6- 5  o    1     3    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Burnt Hills             7-11      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   407 N Guilderland             6- 7  o   -1    -6    ++     5.68
   409 A Bethlehem               6- 5  o    1    -4    ++     5.59
   419 A Shenendehowa            6-11      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   402 N LaSalle Institute      10- 4       6     3    +      2.89
   414 A Saratoga Springs        9-10      -1    -4    +      3.60
   416 H Shaker                  8-15      -7   -11    +      3.00
   507 A Cicero-North Syracuse   4- 9      -5    -7    +          
   514 H Ballston Spa            5-12      -7    -9    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.36 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.35 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/