Region = NY LI AAA-AA           
   Nickname = Y Flyers               Coach  =   Jack Moran            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5470276    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 96.9)    11- 6   
 329 A Iona Prep              NY NY AAA-AA  (12- 9, 87.5)    10- 3   
 331 H Saint Ignatius Prep    CA    WCAL    (16- 4, 99.9)     5- 7   
 402 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 4, 98.9)     8- 9   
 405 H St Anthony's           NY LI AAA-AA  (14- 2, 99.9)     4- 5   
 408 H St Dominic             NY LI AAA-AA  ( 9- 7, 86.4)    13- 4   
 410 A Manhasset              NY B  Sec 8   (15- 4, 98.0)     5-10   
 412 H St John Baptist        NY LI AAA-AA  (10- 9, 85.6)    12- 9   
 419 H Holy Trinity           NY NY A       (12- 7, 81.1)    18- 4   
 421 A Kellenberg Memorial    NY LI AAA-AA  (10-11, 85.7)     9- 4   
 423 H Yorktown               NY B  Sec 1   (16- 7, 99.9)     8- 4   
 426 H Fordham Prep           NY NY AAA-AA  (14- 8, 88.8)    12- 5   
 428 A Massapequa             NY A  Sec 8   (14- 4, 98.6)    11-10  o
 430 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 4, 88.8)    12- 7   
 507 A Greenwich HS           CT L          (11- 8, 85.9)    14- 8   
 510 A St Anthony's           NY LI AAA-AA  (14- 2, 99.9)     3- 4   
 514 H Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (22- 2, 99.9)     6- 9   
 518 N St Anthony's           NY LI AAA-AA  (14- 2, 99.9)     5-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H West Islip             11- 6       5    -3          n/a  
   329 A Iona Prep              10- 3       7     5           1.82
   331 H Saint Ignatius Prep     5- 7      -2    -5          n/a  
   402 H Ward Melville           8- 9      -1    -5          n/a  
   405 H St Anthony's            4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.05
   408 H St Dominic             13- 4       9     7           1.57
   410 A Manhasset               5-10      -5    -5          n/a  
   412 H St John Baptist        12- 9       3     8    --    -5.23
   419 H Holy Trinity           18- 4      14    12           0.00
   421 A Kellenberg Memorial     9- 4       5     7    -     -2.03
   423 H Yorktown                8- 4       4    -5          n/a  
   426 H Fordham Prep           12- 5       7     5           1.96
   428 A Massapequa             11-10  o    1    -5          n/a  
   430 A Fairfield Prep         12- 7       5     3          n/a  
   507 A Greenwich HS           14- 8       6     6          n/a  
   510 A St Anthony's            3- 4      -1    -7    +++    6.18
   514 H Delbarton               6- 9      -3    -5          n/a  
   518 N St Anthony's            5-18     -13    -6    -     -3.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H St John Baptist        12- 9       3     8    --    -5.23
   421 A Kellenberg Memorial     9- 4       5     7    -     -2.03
   518 N St Anthony's            5-18     -13    -6    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H West Islip             11- 6       5    -3    +++        
   423 H Yorktown                8- 4       4    -5    +++        
   428 A Massapequa             11-10  o    1    -5    +++        
   510 A St Anthony's            3- 4      -1    -7    +++    6.18
   402 H Ward Melville           8- 9      -1    -5    ++         
   405 H St Anthony's            4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.05
   331 H Saint Ignatius Prep     5- 7      -2    -5    +          
   514 H Delbarton               6- 9      -3    -5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.28 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.15 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   23.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/