Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Craig Kemmlein        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4090881    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks-1 (11- 8, 85.9)     6-17   
 331 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 6, 85.2)     4-12   
 404 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 78.1)    15- 4   
 406 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (23- 4, 99.4)     1-19   
 411 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.1)    14-13   
 413 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb (16- 4, 95.1)     8-22   
 416 H West York              PA    York    ( 9- 6, 86.6)     8-16   
 418 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 92.7)     4-19   
 420 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 85.4)     5-14   
 422 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 73.4)    18- 7   
 423 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 88.0)     3-16   
 426 H Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 84.1)    10-14   
 428 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 70.3)    18- 8   
 430 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 9, 83.8)    11-12   
 502 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (13- 6, 91.8)     5-19   
 503 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 71.3)    14- 8   
 505 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 75.2)    21- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Governor Mifflin        6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.91
   331 A Warwick                 4-12      -8    -7          -0.89
   404 H Penn Manor             15- 4      11     1    +++    8.31
   406 A Manheim Township        1-19     -18   -21           0.00
   411 H Lancaster Cou Day      14-13       1     2          -1.67
   413 A Lampeter-Strasburg      8-22     -14   -17           0.00
   416 H West York               8-16      -8    -6          -1.19
   418 H Hempfield               4-19     -15   -12           0.00
   420 A Garden Spot             5-14      -9    -7          -1.68
   422 H Ephrata                18- 7      11     6    +      3.56
   423 A Central Dauphin         3-16     -13    -9          -0.03
   426 H Elizabethtown          10-14      -4    -4           0.23
   428 H Conestoga Valley       18- 8      10     9           0.53
   430 A Lower Dauphin          11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.76
   502 A Palmyra                 5-19     -14   -13           0.00
   503 A Cocalico               14- 8       6     6          -0.72
   505 A Lancaster Mennonite    21- 7      14     2    +++    7.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Governor Mifflin        6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Penn Manor             15- 4      11     1    +++    8.31
   505 A Lancaster Mennonite    21- 7      14     2    +++    7.15
   430 A Lower Dauphin          11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.76
   422 H Ephrata                18- 7      11     6    +      3.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.93 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.32 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/