Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-S           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Bob Hummel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.8355560    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Elk Grove              CA    NCLA-S  ( 8- 6, 87.2)    11-10  o
 304 H Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-S  ( 1-10, 77.3)    18-10   
 312 H Oakland Tech           CA    NCLA-W  (13- 2, 96.7)     4- 7   
 313 A Stockton               CA    NCLA-S  ( 2- 8, 81.0)    11- 4   
 319 H Santa Rosa             CA    NCLA-W  ( 6- 7, 86.0)     5-15   
 402 A Redding                CA    NCLA-N  ( 0-12, 70.0)    13- 0   
 410 A Chico                  CA    NCLA-N  (10- 5, 90.7)     9- 7   
 416 A Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-N  ( 7- 7, 88.7)     7- 9   
 423 H Stockton               CA    NCLA-S  ( 2- 8, 81.0)    13- 8   
 429 H Elk Grove              CA    NCLA-S  ( 8- 6, 87.2)    13- 9   
 430 H Napa                   CA    NCLA-W  ( 3- 9, 81.2)    12- 8   
 501 A Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-S  ( 1-10, 77.3)    12- 5   
 515 H Elk Grove              CA    NCLA-S  ( 8- 6, 87.2)    13- 8   
 521 A Oakland Tech           CA    NCLA-W  (13- 2, 96.7)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Elk Grove              11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.19
   304 H Pleasant Grove         18-10       8    13    -     -2.00
   312 H Oakland Tech            4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.66
   313 A Stockton               11- 4       7     9    -     -2.41
   319 H Santa Rosa              5-15     -10     5    ---  -15.05
   402 A Redding                13- 0      13    20           0.00
   410 A Chico                   9- 7       2     0    +      2.30
   416 A Sierra Foothills        7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.73
   423 H Stockton               13- 8       5    10    --    -5.00
   429 H Elk Grove              13- 9       4     3           0.22
   430 H Napa                   12- 8       4     9    --    -5.78
   501 A Pleasant Grove         12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   515 H Elk Grove              13- 8       5     3           1.22
   521 A Oakland Tech            5-11      -6    -6           0.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Santa Rosa              5-15     -10     5    ---  -15.05
   423 H Stockton               13- 8       5    10    --    -5.00
   430 H Napa                   12- 8       4     9    --    -5.78
   227 A Elk Grove              11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.19
   304 H Pleasant Grove         18-10       8    13    -     -2.00
   313 A Stockton               11- 4       7     9    -     -2.41
   416 A Sierra Foothills        7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.73
   501 A Pleasant Grove         12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Oakland Tech            4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.66
   410 A Chico                   9- 7       2     0    +      2.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.72 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.27 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/