Covington Catholic            5 - 6


 
                                     Region = KY 2  North-1          
   Nickname = Y Colonels             Coach  =   Conner McKee          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   83.6984940    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Dixie Heights          KY 2  North-1 (11- 4, 92.2)    11-17   
 319 A Lexington Sayre        KY 2  North-2 ( 7- 7, 84.4)     8- 7   
 402 H DuPont Manual          KY 1  KSLL    (10- 9, 87.6)    11- 3   
 406 H Madeira LC             OH 4          ( 6- 5, 92.9)     4-16   
 408 A Bryan Station          KY 2  North-1 ( 9-10, 86.3)     5- 8   
 411 A Oak Hills              OH 1  SoWest  ( 2-17, 65.0)    16- 8   
 420 H Northern Kentucky LC   KY 2  North-1 ( 5- 5, 81.9)     6-11   
 427 A Lebanon                OH 1  SoWest  ( 4-14, 72.7)     9- 5   
 430 H Scott County           KY 2  North-1 ( 5- 6, 77.5)    15- 8   
 502 A Dixie Heights          KY 2  North-1 (11- 4, 92.2)     8-18   
 503 H Cincinnati Cou Day     OH 2  SoWest  (13- 5, 78.6)     0-25   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Dixie Heights          11-17      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   319 A Lexington Sayre         8- 7       1    -2    +      3.76
   402 H DuPont Manual          11- 3       8    -4    +++   12.45
   406 H Madeira LC              4-16     -12    -9          n/a  
   408 A Bryan Station           5- 8      -3    -4           1.63
   411 A Oak Hills              16- 8       8    16          n/a  
   420 H Northern Kentucky LC    6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.33
   427 A Lebanon                 9- 5       4     8          n/a  
   430 H Scott County           15- 8       7     5           1.35
   502 A Dixie Heights           8-18     -10   -10           0.00
   503 H Cincinnati Cou Day      0-25     -25     4          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Northern Kentucky LC    6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.33
   503 H Cincinnati Cou Day      0-25     -25     4    ---        
   427 A Lebanon                 9- 5       4     8    --         
   411 A Oak Hills              16- 8       8    16    -          


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H DuPont Manual          11- 3       8    -4    +++   12.45
   316 A Dixie Heights          11-17      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   319 A Lexington Sayre         8- 7       1    -2    +      3.76




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.41 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.68 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3


  
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