Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Hurricanes           Coach  =   Paul Gilbert          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0729370    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 A Cary Academy           NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6- 8, 80.8)    17- 5   
 227 A Kerr-Vance Academy     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3-10, 68.8)    14- 2   
 309 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 9, 82.3)     7- 8   
 311 H Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  (12- 9, 85.8)    12-13   
 312 H Porter-Gaud            SC    SCISA   ( 9- 6, 77.9)    13- 7   
 312 H Univ School Nashville  TN 2  Central (10-11, 85.3)    11- 6   
 321 H Providence Day         NC 1  NCISAA  (14- 9, 94.8)    12-17   
 324 H North Raleigh Christia NC 1  NCISAA  ( 7- 8, 77.8)    18- 8   
 329 A Ravenscroft School     NC 1  NCISAA  (17- 2, 99.9)     5-15   
 401 H St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     (10- 8, 81.9)     6-11   
 405 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (10- 7, 87.5)    14-13   
 407 H Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 1-13, 63.2)    16- 2   
 415 A Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 1-13, 63.2)    15- 4   
 419 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 9, 82.3)    16- 9   
 420 H Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 (11- 5, 86.7)    16- 7   
 422 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-06 (11-10, 84.4)    13-15   
 426 A Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5-10, 72.4)    20- 8   
 428 H Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (10- 7, 87.5)    11-17   
 506 H Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5-10, 72.4)    18- 9   
 509 A Epiphany School        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5- 7, 71.3)    22- 3   
 514 H Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5-10, 72.4)    17- 3   
 517 H Asheville School       NC 2  NCISAA  ( 6- 5, 81.7)    11- 8   
 521 A Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  (12- 9, 85.8)    12-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Cary Academy           17- 5      12     5    ++     4.58
   227 A Kerr-Vance Academy     14- 2      12    17           0.00
   309 H Wilmington Ashley       7- 8      -1     5          n/a  
   311 H Forsyth Cou Day        12-13      -1     1    -     -2.42
   312 H Porter-Gaud            13- 7       6     9          n/a  
   312 H Univ School Nashville  11- 6       5     2          n/a  
   321 H Providence Day         12-17      -5    -7    +      2.57
   324 H North Raleigh Christia 18- 8      10     9           0.53
   329 A Ravenscroft School      5-15     -10   -13           0.00
   401 H St Andrews Episcopal    6-11      -5     5          n/a  
   405 A Wilmington New Hanover 14-13       1    -1          n/a  
   407 H Parrott Academy        16- 2      14    24           0.00
   415 A Parrott Academy        15- 4      11    23           0.00
   419 A Wilmington Ashley      16- 9       7     3          n/a  
   420 H Wilmington Laney       16- 7       9     0          n/a  
   422 H Chapel Hill            13-15      -2     2          n/a  
   426 A Cary Christian         20- 8      12    13           0.00
   428 H Wilmington New Hanover 11-17      -6     0          n/a  
   506 H Cary Christian         18- 9       9    14          -1.00
   509 A Epiphany School        22- 3      19    14           0.00
   514 H Cary Christian         17- 3      14    14           0.00
   517 H Asheville School       11- 8       3     5    -     -2.59
   521 A Forsyth Cou Day        12-13      -1     0          -1.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Wilmington Ashley       7- 8      -1     5    ---        
   401 H St Andrews Episcopal    6-11      -5     5    ---        
   422 H Chapel Hill            13-15      -2     2    --         
   428 H Wilmington New Hanover 11-17      -6     0    --         
   311 H Forsyth Cou Day        12-13      -1     1    -     -2.42
   312 H Porter-Gaud            13- 7       6     9    -          
   517 H Asheville School       11- 8       3     5    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Wilmington Laney       16- 7       9     0    +++        
   226 A Cary Academy           17- 5      12     5    ++     4.58
   312 H Univ School Nashville  11- 6       5     2    +          
   321 H Providence Day         12-17      -5    -7    +      2.57
   405 A Wilmington New Hanover 14-13       1    -1    +          
   419 A Wilmington Ashley      16- 9       7     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.77 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.08 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/