Region = NE 1  West             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Andrew D'Ambrosio     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5798492    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 3-12, 74.5)    18- 2   
 406 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.9)     4-17   
 409 H Salisbury School       NE 1  West    (11- 4, 96.0)    10- 8   
 413 H Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West-FL ( 8- 7, 88.4)     7-10   
 416 A Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West-FL (10- 8, 91.8)     6-16   
 420 A Hotchkiss              NE 1  West-FL ( 1-12, 78.1)    16- 9   
 423 A Kent School            NE 1  West-FL ( 1-13, 78.0)    17- 8   
 427 A Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 9- 8, 91.6)    14- 4   
 430 H Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West-FL (12- 4, 96.7)    11- 8   
 502 A Gunnery School         NE 2  West    (15- 3, 99.9)     7- 4   
 506 H Taft School            NE 1  West-FL (15- 3, 99.0)    15-21   
 507 A Choate                 NE 1  West-FL ( 7- 7, 89.1)    12-13  o
 511 A Westminster School     NE 1  West-FL ( 8- 5, 90.3)    10-11 2o
 514 H Wilbraham & Monson     NE 2  West    ( 7- 7, 89.6)    15- 6   
 516 H Canterbury             NE 2  West    ( 7-10, 90.4)    10- 6   
 518 H Millbrook School       NE 2  West    (10- 6, 93.9)     8-10   
 521 A Brunswick School       NE 1  West    (15- 3, 97.9)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Northfield Mt Hermon   18- 2      16    18           0.00
   406 A Deerfield               4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   409 H Salisbury School       10- 8       2    -2    ++     4.77
   413 H Avon Old Farms          7-10      -3     4    ---   -7.84
   416 A Loomis Chaffee          6-16     -10    -2    ---   -7.60
   420 A Hotchkiss              16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   423 A Kent School            17- 8       9    11          -1.00
   427 A Williston Northampton  14- 4      10    -1          n/a  
   430 H Trinity-Pawling        11- 8       3    -3    +++    6.47
   502 A Gunnery School          7- 4       3   -10          n/a  
   506 H Taft School            15-21      -6    -5          -0.16
   507 A Choate                 12-13  o   -1     0          -1.23
   511 A Westminster School     10-11 2o   -1     0          -0.04
   514 H Wilbraham & Monson     15- 6       9     3          n/a  
   516 H Canterbury             10- 6       4     2          n/a  
   518 H Millbrook School        8-10      -2    -1          n/a  
   521 A Brunswick School        9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Avon Old Farms          7-10      -3     4    ---   -7.84
   416 A Loomis Chaffee          6-16     -10    -2    ---   -7.60
   420 A Hotchkiss              16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Williston Northampton  14- 4      10    -1    +++        
   430 H Trinity-Pawling        11- 8       3    -3    +++    6.47
   502 A Gunnery School          7- 4       3   -10    +++        
   409 H Salisbury School       10- 8       2    -2    ++     4.77
   514 H Wilbraham & Monson     15- 6       9     3    ++         
   521 A Brunswick School        9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.29 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.77 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/